Form 8-K

 

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

 

FORM 8-K

 

 

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d)

of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) February 25, 2019

 

 

ALLISON TRANSMISSION HOLDINGS, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

 

 

Delaware
  001-35456
  26-0414014

(State or other jurisdiction

of incorporation)

 

(Commission

File Number)

 

(IRS Employer

Identification No.)

One Allison Way, Indianapolis, Indiana   46222
(Address of principal executive offices)   (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (317) 242-5000

Not Applicable

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

 

 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

 

 

Written communication pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

 

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

 

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

 

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company  ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.  ☐

 

 

 


Item 2.02

Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 25, 2019, Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (“Allison”) published an earnings release reporting its financial results for the three months and year ended December 31, 2018. A copy of the earnings release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 hereto. Following the publication of the earnings release, Allison will host an earnings call on February 26, 2019 at 8:00 a.m. ET on which its financial results for the three months and year ended December 31, 2018 will be discussed. The investor presentation materials that will be used for the call are attached as Exhibit 99.2 hereto.

On February 25, 2019, Allison posted the materials attached as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 on its web site (www.allisontransmission.com).

As discussed on page 2 of Exhibit 99.2, the investor presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. These statements are present expectations, and are subject to the limitations listed therein and in Allison’s other Securities and Exchange Commission filings, including that actual events or results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements.

The foregoing information (including the exhibits hereto) is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

 

Item 9.01

Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits.

 

Exhibit
Number

  

Description

99.1    Earnings Release dated February 25, 2019
99.2    Investor Presentation materials dated February 25, 2019


SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

    Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.
Date: February 25, 2019      
    By:  

/s/ Eric C. Scroggins

    Name:   Eric C. Scroggins
    Title:   Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary
EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

 

LOGO      LOGO

Allison Transmission Announces Record Results for Full Year 2018

 

Record Full Year 2018: Net Sales $2,713 million, Net Income $639 million, Adjusted EBITDA $1,128 million, Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities $837 million, Adjusted Free Cash Flow $737 million

 

Fourth Quarter 2018: Net Sales $647 million, Net Income $147 million, Adjusted EBITDA $261 million, Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities $232 million, Adjusted Free Cash Flow $184 million

INDIANAPOLIS, February 25, 2019 – Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (NYSE: ALSN), the largest global provider of commercial duty fully-automatic transmissions, today reported net sales for the fourth quarter of $647 million, a 10 percent increase from the same period in 2017. The increase in net sales was principally driven by higher demand in the Outside North America Off-Highway and North America On-Highway end markets.

Net Income for the quarter was $147 million compared to $215 million for the same period in 2017. Fourth quarter 2017 included a one-time income tax benefit of $152 million as a result of the U.S. Tax Cuts and Jobs Act enacted into law in December 2017. Adjusted EBITDA, a non-GAAP financial measure, for the quarter was $261 million compared to $210 million for the same period in 2017. Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities for the quarter was $232 million compared to $166 million for the same period in 2017. Adjusted Free Cash Flow, a non-GAAP financial measure, for the quarter was $184 million compared to $115 million for the same period in 2017.

David S. Graziosi, President and Chief Executive Officer of Allison Transmission commented, “I am pleased to report that 2018 was a record year for Allison Transmission. Full year results exceeded our initial Net Sales guidance ranges across all of our end markets. Furthermore, Allison achieved record levels of Net Sales, Net Income, Adjusted EBITDA, Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities and Adjusted Free Cash Flow. Full year net sales growth of 20 percent was surpassed, by even stronger growth in Net Income, up 27 percent, Diluted EPS, up 42 percent and Adjusted EBITDA, up 30 percent. And notably, double digit growth was realized in the Outside North America On-Highway end market for the third consecutive year.” Graziosi continued, “Throughout the year, we continued our well-defined approach to capital structure and allocation. During the fourth quarter, we paid a dividend of $0.15 per share and settled $153 million of share repurchases, resulting in $609 million of total share repurchases in 2018 or approximately 10% of our outstanding shares.”

Fourth Quarter Net Sales by End Market

 

End Market

   Q4 2018
Net Sales
($M)
     Q4 2017
Net Sales
($M)
     % Variance  

North America On-Highway (a)

   $ 303      $ 287        6

North America Off-Highway

   $ 17      $ 28        (39 %) 

Defense

   $ 36      $ 25        44

Outside North America On-Highway

   $ 95      $ 98        (3 %) 

Outside North America Off-Highway

   $ 47      $ 11        327

Service Parts, Support Equipment & Other

   $ 149      $ 139        7
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Net Sales

   $ 647      $ 588        10
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

(a)

North America On-Highway end-market net sales are inclusive of net sales for North America Electric Hybrid-Propulsion Systems for Transit Bus.

 

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Fourth Quarter Highlights

North America On-Highway end market net sales were up 6 percent from the same period in 2017 principally driven by higher demand for Rugged Duty Series and Highway Series models and down 9 percent on a sequential basis principally driven by lower demand for Rugged Duty Series and Pupil Transport/Shuttle Series models.

North America Off-Highway end market net sales were down $11 million from the same period in 2017 and up $5 million sequentially, in both cases principally driven by fluctuations in demand from hydraulic fracturing applications.

Defense end market net sales were up $11 million from the same period in 2017 principally driven by higher Tracked demand and down $6 million on a sequential basis principally driven by lower Wheeled and Tracked demand.

Outside North America On-Highway end market net sales were down 3 percent from the same period in 2017 principally driven by lower demand in South America and Asia and down 1 percent sequentially.

Outside North America Off-Highway end market net sales were up $36 million from the same period in 2017 principally driven by improved demand in the energy, mining and construction sectors and up $1 million on a sequential basis.

Service Parts, Support Equipment & Other end market net sales were up 7 percent from the same period in 2017 principally driven by higher demand for North America On-Highway service parts and global support equipment and down 9 percent sequentially principally driven by lower demand for North America service parts.

Gross profit for the quarter was $338 million, an increase of 17 percent from $288 million for the same period in 2017. Gross margin for the quarter was 52.2 percent, an increase of 320 basis points from a gross margin of 49.0 percent for the same period in 2017. The increase in gross profit from the same period in 2017 was principally driven by increased net sales, price increases on certain products and favorable material costs.

Selling, general and administrative expenses for the quarter were $90 million, a decrease of $7 million from $97 million for the same period in 2017. The decrease was principally driven by unfavorable product warranty adjustments in 2017 that did not recur in 2018.

Engineering – research and development expenses for the quarter were $37 million, an increase of $6 million from $31 million for the same period in 2017. The increase was principally driven by increased product initiatives spending.

As a result of continued weak demand conditions for the TC10 transmission we ceased production and recorded a corresponding $4 million impairment loss compared to a $32 million impairment loss for the same period in 2017.

Income tax expense for the quarter was $27 million compared to a $131 million benefit for the same period in 2017. The change was principally driven by a one-time income tax benefit resulting from a decrease in deferred tax liabilities in 2017 as a result of the U.S. Tax Cuts and Jobs Act enacted into law in December 2017 and increased taxable income partially offset by a decrease in effective tax rate as a result of the U.S. Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.

Net income for the quarter was $147 million compared to $215 million for the same period in 2017. The decrease was principally driven by the enactment of the U.S. Tax Cuts and Jobs Act in December 2017, increased product initiatives spending and increased interest expense partially offset by increased gross profit, decreased loss associated with the impairment of long-lived assets, decreased technology-related investment expense and decreased selling, general and administrative expenses.

Net cash provided by operating activities was $232 million compared to $166 million for the same period in 2017. The increase was principally driven by increased gross profit, decreased cash income taxes and decreased cash interest expense partially offset by increased product initiatives spending.

Fourth Quarter Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $261 million compared to $210 million for the same period in 2017, an increase of $51 million. The increase in Adjusted EBITDA was principally driven by increased gross profit and decreased selling, general and administrative expenses partially offset by increased product initiatives spending.

 

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Adjusted Free Cash Flow for the quarter was $184 million compared to $115 million for the same period in 2017, an increase of $69 million. The increase was driven by increased cash provided by operating activities and decreased capital expenditures.

Full Year 2019 Guidance

Allison expects 2019 net sales to be in the range of $2,580 to $2,680 million, Net Income in the range of $535 to $585 million, Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $1,000 to $1,060 million, Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities in the range of $710 to $750 million, Adjusted Free Cash Flow in the range of $550 to $600 million and cash income taxes in the range of $100 to $110 million.

Our 2019 net sales guidance reflects lower demand in the North America Off-Highway and Service Parts, Support Equipment & Other end markets principally driven by hydraulic fracturing applications partially offset by increased demand in the North America On-Highway end market, price increases on certain products and continued execution of our growth initiatives.

Although we are not providing specific first quarter 2019 guidance, Allison does expect first quarter net sales to be flat from the same period in 2018 principally driven by increased demand expected in the North America On-Highway end market offset by decreased demand expected in the North America Off-Highway and Service Parts, Support Equipment & Other end markets.

Conference Call and Webcast

The company will host a conference call at 8:00 a.m. ET on Tuesday, February 26 to discuss its fourth quarter and full year 2018 results and full year 2019 guidance. The dial-in number is 1-201-389-0878 and the U.S. toll-free dial-in number is 1-877-425-9470. A live webcast of the conference call will also be available online at http://ir.allisontransmission.com.

For those unable to participate on the conference call, a replay will be available from 11:00 a.m. ET on February 26 until 11:59 p.m. ET on March 5. The replay dial-in number is 1-844-512-2921 and the international replay dial-in number is 1-412-317-6671. The replay passcode is 13686313.

About Allison Transmission

Allison Transmission (NYSE: ALSN) is the world’s largest manufacturer of fully automatic transmissions for medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicles and is a leader in electric hybrid-propulsion systems for city buses. Allison transmissions are used in a variety of applications including refuse, construction, fire, distribution, bus, motorhomes, defense and energy. Founded in 1915, the company is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, USA and employs approximately 2,700 people worldwide. With a market presence in more than 80 countries, Allison has regional headquarters in the Netherlands, China and Brazil with manufacturing facilities in the U.S., Hungary and India. Allison also has approximately 1,400 independent distributor and dealer locations worldwide. For more information, visit allisontransmission.com.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical fact contained in this press release are forward-looking statements, including all statements regarding future financial results. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by terminology such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “expect,” “plans,” “project,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “predict,” “intend,” “forecast,” “could,” “potential,” “continue” or the negative of these terms or other similar terms or phrases. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve known and unknown risks. Factors which may cause the actual results to differ materially from those anticipated at the time the forward-looking statements are made include, but are not limited to: our participation in markets that are competitive; the highly cyclical industries in which certain of our end users operate; uncertainty in the global regulatory and business environments in which we operate; our ability to prepare for, respond to and successfully achieve our objectives relating to technological and market developments, competitive threats and changing customer needs; the concentration of our net sales in our top five customers and the loss of any one of these; the failure of markets outside North America to increase adoption of fully-automatic transmissions; U.S. and foreign defense spending; general economic and industry conditions; increases in cost, disruption of supply or shortage of raw materials or components used in our products; the discovery of defects in our products, resulting in delays in new model launches, recall campaigns and/or increased warranty costs and reduction in future sales or damage to our brand and reputation; risks associated with our international operations, including increased trade protectionism; labor strikes, work stoppages or similar labor disputes, which could significantly disrupt our operations or those of our principal customers; risks related to our substantial indebtedness; our intention to pay dividends and repurchase shares of our common stock and other risks and uncertainties associated with our business

 

3


described in our Annual Report on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and Current Reports on Form 8-K. Although we believe the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are based upon reasonable assumptions, we can give no assurance that the expectations will be attained or that any deviation will not be material. All information is as of the date of this press release, and we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to conform the statement to actual results or changes in expectations.

Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

This press release contains information about Allison’s financial results and forward-looking estimates of financial results which are not presented in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (“GAAP”). Such non-GAAP financial measures are reconciled to their closest GAAP financial measures at the end of this press release. Non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for our reported results prepared in accordance with GAAP and, as calculated, may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures of other companies.

We use Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA as a percent of net sales to measure our operating profitability. We believe that Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA as a percent of net sales provide management, investors and creditors with useful measures of the operational results of our business and increase the period-to-period comparability of our operating profitability and comparability with other companies. Adjusted EBITDA as a percent of net sales is also used in the calculation of management’s incentive compensation program. The most directly comparable GAAP measure to Adjusted EBITDA is Net income. The most directly comparable GAAP measure to Adjusted EBITDA as a percent of net sales is Net Income as a percent of net sales. Adjusted EBITDA is calculated as the earnings before interest expense, income tax expense, amortization of intangible assets, depreciation of property, plant and equipment and other adjustments as defined by Allison Transmission, Inc.’s, the Company’s wholly-owned subsidiary, Senior Secured Credit Facility Term B-3 Loan due 2022. Adjusted EBITDA as a percent of net sales is calculated as Adjusted EBITDA divided by net sales.

We use Adjusted Free Cash Flow to evaluate the amount of cash generated by our business that, after the capital investment needed to maintain and grow our business and certain mandatory debt service requirements, can be used for the repayment of debt, stockholder distributions and strategic opportunities, including investing in our business. We believe that Adjusted Free Cash Flow enhances the understanding of the cash flows of our business for management, investors and creditors. Adjusted Free Cash Flow is also used in the calculation of management’s incentive compensation program. The most directly comparable GAAP measure to Adjusted Free Cash Flow is Net cash provided by operating activities. Adjusted Free Cash Flow is calculated as Net cash provided by operating activities after additions of long-lived assets.

Attachment

 

   

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations

 

   

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets

 

   

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

 

   

Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures

 

   

Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for Full Year Guidance

Contacts

Investor Relations

ir@allisontransmission.com

(317) 242-3078

Media Relations

media@allisontransmission.com

(317) 242-5000

 

4


Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations

(Unaudited, dollars in millions, except per share data)

 

     Three months ended December 31,     Twelve months ended December 31,  
     2018     2017     2018     2017  

Net sales

   $ 647     $ 588     $ 2,713     $ 2,262  

Cost of sales

     309       300       1,291       1,131  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Gross profit

     338       288       1,422       1,131  

Selling, general and administrative

     90       97       364       342  

Engineering - research and development

     37       31       131       105  

Loss associated with impairment of long-lived assets

     4       32       4       32  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Operating income

     207       128       923       652  

Interest expense, net

     (31     (25     (121     (103

Other (expense) income, net

     (2     (19     3       (22
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Income before income taxes

     174       84       805       527  

Income tax (expense) benefit

     (27     131       (166     (23
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net income

   $ 147     $ 215     $ 639     $ 504  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Basic earnings per share attributable to common stockholders

   $ 1.15     $ 1.52     $ 4.81     $ 3.38  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Diluted earnings per share attributable to common stockholders

   $ 1.14     $ 1.51     $ 4.78     $ 3.36  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

5


Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets

(Unaudited, dollars in millions)

 

     December 31,      December 31,  
     2018      2017  

ASSETS

     

Current Assets

     

Cash and cash equivalents

   $ 231      $ 199  

Accounts receivable

     279        221  

Inventories

     170        154  

Income taxes receivable

     16        33  

Other current assets

     29        25  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Current Assets

     725        632  

Property, plant and equipment, net

     466        448  

Intangible assets, net

     1,066        1,153  

Goodwill

     1,941        1,941  

Other non-current assets

     39        31  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

TOTAL ASSETS

   $ 4,237      $ 4,205  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

LIABILITIES

     

Current Liabilities

     

Accounts payable

   $ 169      $ 159  

Product warranty liability

     26        22  

Current portion of long-term debt

     —          12  

Deferred revenue

     34        41  

Other current liabilities

     197        183  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Current Liabilities

     426        417  

Product warranty liability

     40        33  

Deferred revenue

     88        75  

Long-term debt

     2,523        2,534  

Deferred income taxes

     329        276  

Other non-current liabilities

     172        181  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

TOTAL LIABILITIES

     3,578        3,516  

TOTAL STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY

     659        689  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

TOTAL LIABILITIES & STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY

   $ 4,237      $ 4,205  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

6


Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

(Unaudited, dollars in millions)

 

    

Three months ended December 31,

    Twelve months ended December 31,  
     2018     2017     2018     2017  

Net cash provided by operating activities

   $ 232     $ 166     $ 837     $ 658  

Net cash used for investing activities (a)

     (51     (51     (103     (94

Net cash used for financing activities

     (171     (127     (700     (574

Effect of exchange rate changes on cash

     —         1       (2     4  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents

     10       (11     32       (6

Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period

     221       210       199       205  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Cash and cash equivalents at end of period

   $ 231     $ 199     $ 231     $ 199  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Supplemental disclosures:

        

Interest paid

   $ 47     $ 53     $ 115     $ 124  

Income taxes paid

   $ 21     $ 31     $ 101     $ 96  

(a) Additions of long-lived assets

   $ (48   $ (51   $ (100   $ (91

 

7


Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.

Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures

(Unaudited, dollars in millions)

 

     Three months ended     Twelve months ended  
     December 31,     December 31,  
     2018     2017     2018     2017  

Net income (GAAP)

   $ 147     $ 215     $ 639     $ 504  

plus:

        

Income tax expense (benefit)

     27       (131     166       23  

Interest expense, net

     31       25       121       103  

Amortization of intangible assets

     21       23       87       90  

Depreciation of property, plant and equipment

     19       20       77       80  

UAW Local 933 retirement incentive (a)

     8       —         15       —    

Stock-based compensation expense (b)

     4       4       13       12  

Loss associated with impairment of long-lived assets (c)

     4       32       4       32  

Unrealized (gain) loss on foreign exchange (d)

     (3     (1     3       —    

Technology-related investment expense (e)

     3       13       3       16  

UAW Local 933 contract signing bonus (f)

     —         10       —         10  

Dual power inverter module units extended coverage (g)

     —         —         —         (2
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Adjusted EBITDA (Non-GAAP)

   $ 261     $ 210     $ 1,128     $ 868  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net sales (GAAP)

   $ 647     $ 588     $ 2,713     $ 2,262  

Net income as a percent of net sales (GAAP)

     22.7     36.6     23.6     22.3

Adjusted EBITDA as a percent of net sales (Non-GAAP)

     40.3     35.7     41.6     38.4

Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities (GAAP)

   $ 232     $ 166     $ 837     $ 658  

Deductions to Reconcile to Adjusted Free Cash Flow:

        

Additions of long-lived assets

     (48     (51     (100     (91
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Adjusted Free Cash Flow (Non-GAAP)

   $ 184     $ 115     $ 737     $ 567  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a)

Represents a charge (recorded in Cost of sales) related to a retirement incentive program for certain employees represented by the International Union, United Automobile, Aerospace and Agricultural Implement Workers of America (“UAW”) pursuant to the UAW Local 933 collective bargaining agreement effective through November 2023.

(b)

Represents employee stock compensation expense (recorded in Cost of sales, Selling, general and administrative, and Engineering – research and development).

(c)

Represents charges associated with the impairment of long-lived assets related to the production of the TC10 transmission.

(d)

Represents (gains) losses (recorded in Other (expense) income, net) on intercompany financing transactions related to investments in plant assets for our India facility.

(e)

Represents a charge (recorded in Other (expense) income, net) for investments in co-development agreements to expand our position in transmission technologies.

(f)

Represents a bonus (recorded in Cost of sales, Selling, general and administrative, and Engineering – research and development) to eligible employees recorded in the fourth quarter of 2017 as a result of UAW Local 933 represented employees ratifying a six-year collective bargaining agreement effective through November 2023.

(g)

Represents an adjustment (recorded in Selling, general and administrative) associated with the Dual Power Inverter Module (“DPIM”) extended coverage program liability. The DPIM liability will continue to be reviewed for any changes in estimates as additional claims data and field information become available.

 

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Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.

Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for Full Year Guidance

(Unaudited, dollars in millions)

 

     Guidance  
     Year Ending December 31, 2019  
     Low     High  

Net Income (GAAP)

   $ 535     $ 585  

plus:

    

Income tax expense

     158       168  

Interest expense, net

     126       126  

Depreciation and amortization

     157       157  

UAW Local 933 retirement incentive (a)

     9       9  

Stock-based compensation expense (b)

     15       15  
  

 

 

   

 

 

 

Adjusted EBITDA (Non-GAAP)

   $ 1,000     $ 1,060  
  

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities (GAAP)

   $ 710     $ 750  

Deductions to Reconcile to Adjusted Free Cash Flow:

    

Additions of long-lived assets

     (160     (150
  

 

 

   

 

 

 

Adjusted Free Cash Flow (Non-GAAP)

   $ 550     $ 600  
  

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a)

Represents a charge (recorded in Cost of sales) related to a retirement incentive program for certain employees represented by the International Union, United Automobile, Aerospace and Agricultural Implement Workers of America (“UAW”) pursuant to the UAW Local 933 collective bargaining agreement effective through November 2023.

(b)

Represents employee stock compensation expense (recorded in Cost of sales, Selling, general and administrative, and Engineering – research and development).

 

9

EX-99.2

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Q4 2018 Earnings Release Published February 25, 2019 (Earnings Conference Call February 26, 2019) David Graziosi, President & Chief Executive Officer Fred Bohley, Vice President & Chief Financial Officer Exhibit 99.2


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Safe Harbor Statement The following information contains, or may be deemed to contain, “forward-looking statements” (as defined in the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995). The words “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “estimate” and other expressions that are predictions of or indicate future events and trends and that do not relate to historical matters identify forward-looking statements. You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. Although forward-looking statements reflect management’s good faith beliefs, reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements because they involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from anticipated future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date the statements are made. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events, changed circumstances or otherwise. These forward-looking statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, including, but not limited to: our participation in markets that are competitive; the highly cyclical industries in which certain of our end users operate; uncertainty in the global regulatory and business environments in which we operate; our ability to prepare for, respond to and successfully achieve our objectives relating to technological and market developments, competitive threats and changing customer needs; the concentration of our net sales in our top five customers and the loss of any one of these; the failure of markets outside North America to increase adoption of fully-automatic transmissions; U.S. and foreign defense spending; general economic and industry conditions; increases in cost, disruption of supply or shortage of raw materials or components used in our products; the discovery of defects in our products, resulting in delays in new model launches, recall campaigns and/or increased warranty costs and reduction in future sales or damage to our brand and reputation; risks associated with our international operations, including increased trade protectionism; labor strikes, work stoppages or similar labor disputes, which could significantly disrupt our operations or those of our principal customers; risks related to our substantial indebtedness; and our intention to pay dividends and repurchase shares of our common stock. Allison Transmission cannot assure you that the assumptions made in preparing any of the forward- looking statements will prove accurate or that any long-term financial goals will be realized. All forward-looking statements included in this presentation speak only as of the date made, and Allison Transmission undertakes no obligation to update or revise publicly any such forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. In particular, Allison Transmission cautions you not to place undue weight on certain forward-looking statements pertaining to potential growth opportunities, long-term financial goals or the value we currently ascribe to certain tax attributes set forth herein. Actual results may vary significantly from these statements. Allison Transmission’s business is subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, which may cause future results of operations to vary significantly from those presented herein. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially are discussed in Allison Transmission’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2017.


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Non-GAAP Financial Information We use Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA as a percent of net sales to measure our operating profitability. We believe that Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA as a percent of net sales provide management, investors and creditors with useful measures of the operational results of our business and increase the period-to-period comparability of our operating profitability and comparability with other companies. Adjusted EBITDA as a percent of net sales is also used in the calculation of management’s incentive compensation program. The most directly comparable U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) measure to Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA as a percent of net sales is Net income and Net income as a percent of net sales, respectively. Adjusted EBITDA is calculated as the earnings before interest expense, income tax expense, amortization of intangible assets, depreciation of property, plant and equipment and other adjustments as defined by Allison Transmission, Inc.’s, the Company’s wholly-owned subsidiary, Term B-3 Loan due 2022. Adjusted EBITDA as a percent of net sales is calculated as Adjusted EBITDA divided by net sales. We use Adjusted Free Cash Flow to evaluate the amount of cash generated by our business that, after the capital investment needed to maintain and grow our business and certain mandatory debt service requirements, can be used for repayment of debt, stockholder distributions and strategic opportunities, including investing in our business. We believe that Adjusted Free Cash Flow enhances the understanding of the cash flows of our business for management, investors and creditors. Adjusted Free Cash Flow is also used in the calculation of management’s incentive compensation program. The most directly comparable GAAP measure to Adjusted Free Cash Flow is Net cash provided by operating activities. Adjusted Free Cash Flow is calculated as Net cash provided by operating activities after additions of long-lived assets.


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Call Agenda Q4 2018 Performance 2019 Guidance


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Q4 2018 Performance Summary ($ in millions) Q4 2018 Q4 2017 % Variance Net Sales $647 $588 10.0% Gross Margin % 52.2% 49.0% 320 bps Net Income $147 $215 (31.6%) Adjusted EBITDA(1) $261 $210 24.3% See Appendix for a reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA. Commentary Net Sales: increase was principally driven by higher demand in the Outside North America Off-Highway and North America On-Highway end markets, price increases on certain products and the continued execution of our growth initiatives. Gross Margin: increase was principally driven by increased net sales, price increases on certain products and favorable material costs. Net Income: decrease was principally driven by the 2017 enactment of the U.S. Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, increased product initiatives spending and increased interest expense partially offset by increased gross profit, decreased loss associated with the impairment of long-lived assets, decreased technology-related investment expense and decreased selling, general and administrative expenses. Adjusted EBITDA: increase was principally driven by increased net sales, price increases on certain products, decreased selling, general and administrative expenses and favorable material costs partially offset by increased product initiatives spending.


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Q4 2018 Sales Performance ($ in millions) End Markets Q4 2018 Q4 2017 % Variance Commentary North America On-Hwy $303 $287 6% Principally driven by higher demand for Rugged Duty Series and Highway Series models North America Off-Hwy $17 $28 (39%) Principally driven by lower demand from hydraulic fracturing applications Defense $36 $25 44% Principally driven by higher Tracked demand Outside North America On-Hwy $95 $98 (3%) Principally driven by lower demand in South America and Asia Outside North America Off-Hwy $47 $11 327% Principally driven by improved demand in the energy, mining and construction sectors Service Parts, Support Equipment & Other $149 $139 7% Principally driven by higher demand for North America On-Highway service parts and global support equipment Total $647 $588 10%


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Q4 2018 Financial Performance ($ in millions, except per share data) Q4 2018 Q4 2017 $ Var % Var Commentary Net Sales $647 $588 $59 10.0% Increase was principally driven by higher demand in the Outside North America Off-Highway and North America On-Highway end markets, price increases on certain products and the continued execution of our growth initiatives Cost of Sales $309 $300 ($9) (3.0%) Gross Profit $338 $288 $50 17.4% Increase was principally driven by increased net sales, price increases on certain products and favorable material costs Operating Expenses Selling, General and Administrative $90 $97 $7 7.2% Decrease was principally driven by unfavorable product warranty adjustments in 2017 that did not recur in 2018 Engineering – Research and Development $37 $31 ($6) (19.4%) Increase was principally driven by increased product initiatives spending Loss associated with Impairment of Long- Lived Assets $4 $32 $28 87.5% Total Operating Expenses $131 $160 $29 18.1% Operating Income $207 $128 $79 61.7% Interest Expense, net ($31) ($25) ($6) (24.0%) Increase was principally driven by favorable market-to-market adjustments for interest rate derivatives in 2017 and higher interest rates on the Senior Secured Credit Facility Other Expense, net ($2) ($19) $17 89.5% Change was principally driven by lower technology-related investments expense and credits related to post-retirement benefit plan amendments Income Before Income Taxes $174 $84 $90 107.1% Income Tax (Expense) Benefit ($27) $131 ($158) (120.6%) Change was principally driven by a one-time income tax benefit resulting from a decrease in deferred tax liabilities in 2017 as a result of the U.S. Tax Cuts and Jobs Act enacted into law in December 2017 and increased taxable income partially offset by a decrease in effective tax rate as a result of the U.S. Tax Cuts and Jobs Act Net Income $147 $215 ($68) (31.6%) Diluted Earnings Per Share $1.14 $1.51 ($0.37) (24.5%) Q4 2018: 129M shares; Q4 2017: 142M shares Adjusted EBITDA(1) $261 $210 $51 24.3% See appendix for the reconciliation from Net Income.


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Q4 2018 Cash Flow Performance See Appendix for a reconciliation of Adjusted Free Cash Flow. Operating Working Capital = A/R + Inventory – A/P. ($ in millions) Q4 2018 Q4 2017 $ Variance % Variance Commentary Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities $232 $166 $66 39.8% Principally driven by increased gross profit, lower cash income taxes and cash interest expense partially offset by increased working capital CapEx $48 $51 ($3) (5.9%) Principally driven by timing of productivity and replacement programs spending Adjusted Free Cash Flow (1) $184 $115 $69 60.0% Principally driven by increased net cash provided by operating activities and lower capital expenditures ($ in millions) Q4 2018 Q4 2017 $ Variance % Variance Commentary Operating Working Capital(2) Percentage of LTM Sales 10.3% 9.5% N/A 80 Bps Principally driven by increased operating working capital commensurate with increased quarterly net sales partially offset with higher LTM net sales Cash Paid for Interest $47 $53 ($6) (11.3%) Principally driven by termination of interest rate derivatives in 2017 partially offset by interest payments for the 4.75% Senior Notes due 2027 Cash Paid for Income Taxes $21 $31 ($10) (32.3%) Principally driven by intra-year timing of payments


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2019 Guidance – End Markets Net Sales Commentary Allison expects first quarter net sales to be flat from the same period in 2018 principally driven by increased demand expected in the North America On-Highway end market offset by decreased demand expected in the North America Off-Highway and Service Parts, Support Equipment & Other end markets. End Market 2018 Net Sales 2019 Midpoint Commentary North America On-Hwy $1,317 5% Principally driven by anticipated market share gains in Class 4-5 truck as a result of the recent medium duty commercial truck launches by Chevrolet and Navistar and higher Class 8 straight truck production North America Off-Hwy $93 (78%) Principally driven by lower demand for hydraulic fracturing applications Defense $158 0% Outside North America On-Hwy $383 3% Principally driven by increased fully-automatic penetration Outside North America Off-Hwy $129 (19%) Principally driven by lower demand in the energy sector Service Parts, Support Equipment & Other $633 (10%) Principally driven by decreased demand for North America Off-Highway service parts ($ in millions)


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2019 Guidance - Summary ($ in millions) Guidance Commentary Net Sales $2,580 to $2,680 Guidance reflects lower demand in the North America Off-Highway and Service Parts, Support Equipment & Other end markets principally driven by hydraulic fracturing applications partially offset by increased demand in the global On-Highway end markets, price increases on certain products and the continued execution of our growth initiatives Net Income $535 to $585 Adjusted EBITDA $1,000 to $1,060 Net Cash provided by Operating Activities $710 to $750 Adjusted Free Cash Flow $550 to $600 Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities less CapEx Cash Income Taxes $100 to $110


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APPENDIX Non-GAAP Financial Information


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Non-GAAP Reconciliations (1 of 3) Adjusted EBITDA reconciliation


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Non-GAAP Reconciliations (2 of 3) Adjusted Free Cash Flow reconciliation


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Non-GAAP Reconciliations (3 of 3) Guidance reconciliation