Form 8-K

 

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

 

FORM 8-K

 

 

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d)

of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) October 24, 2016

 

 

ALLISON TRANSMISSION HOLDINGS, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

 

 

Delaware   001-35456   26-0414014

(State or other jurisdiction

of incorporation)

 

(Commission

File Number)

 

(IRS Employer

Identification No.)

 

One Allison Way, Indianapolis, Indiana   46222
(Address of principal executive offices)   (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (317) 242-5000

Not Applicable

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

 

 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

 

¨ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

¨ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

 

 

 


Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On October 24, 2016, Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (“Allison”) published an earnings release reporting its financial results for the three months ended September 30, 2016. A copy of the earnings release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 hereto. Following the publication of the earnings release, Allison will host an earnings call on October 25, 2016 at 8:00 a.m. ET on which its financial results for the three months ended September 30, 2016 will be discussed. The investor presentation materials that will be used for the call are attached as Exhibit 99.2 hereto.

On October 24, 2016, Allison posted the materials attached as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 on its web site (www.allisontransmission.com).

As discussed on page 2 of Exhibit 99.2, the investor presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. These statements are present expectations, and are subject to the limitations listed therein and in Allison’s other Securities and Exchange Commission filings, including that actual events or results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements.

The foregoing information (including the exhibits hereto) is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

 

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits.

 

Exhibit

Number

  

Description

99.1    Earnings release dated October 24, 2016.
99.2    Investor presentation materials dated October 24, 2016.


SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

  Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.
Date: October 24, 2016    
  By:  

/s/ Eric C. Scroggins

  Name:   Eric C. Scroggins
  Title:   Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary


EXHIBIT INDEX

 

Exhibit

Number

  

Description

99.1    Earnings release dated October 24, 2016.
99.2    Investor presentation materials dated October 24, 2016.
EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

 

 

LOGO

Allison Transmission Announces Third Quarter 2016 Results

 

  Net Sales $434 million, Net Income $45 million, Adjusted EBITDA $151 million, Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities $128 million, Adjusted Free Cash Flow $116 million

INDIANAPOLIS, October 24, 2016 – Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (NYSE: ALSN), the largest global provider of commercial duty fully-automatic transmissions, today reported net sales for the third quarter of $434 million, a 12 percent decrease from the same period in 2015. The decrease in net sales was principally driven by lower demand in the North America On-Highway and Off-Highway end markets partially offset by stronger demand in the Outside North America On-Highway end market.

Net Income for the quarter was $45 million compared to $47 million for the same period in 2015. Adjusted EBITDA, a non-GAAP financial measure, for the quarter was $151 million, or 34.7 percent of net sales, compared to $174 million, or 35.3 percent of net sales, for the same period in 2015. Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities for the quarter was $128 million compared to $162 million for the same period in 2015. Adjusted Free Cash Flow, a non-GAAP financial measure, for the quarter was $116 million compared to $148 million for the same period in 2015.

Lawrence E. Dewey, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Allison Transmission commented, “Allison’s third quarter 2016 results are within the full year guidance ranges we provided to the market on July 27. The year-over-year reductions in the North America On-Highway and Off-Highway, and Service Parts, Support Equipment & Other end markets net sales are consistent with tempering demand conditions in the North America On-Highway end market and the previously contemplated impact of low energy prices. Allison continued to demonstrate solid operating margins and free cash flow while executing its prudent and well-defined approach to capital structure and allocation. During the third quarter, we settled $77 million of share repurchases, paid a dividend of $0.15 per share and refinanced our long-term debt. Given third quarter 2016 results and current end market conditions we are updating our full year net sales guidance to a decrease in the range of 8.5% to 9.5% year-over-year.”

Third Quarter Net Sales by End Market

 

End Market

   Q3 2016
Net Sales
($M)
     Q3 2015
Net Sales
($M)
     % Variance  

North America On-Highway

     224         262         (15 %) 

North America Hybrid-Propulsion Systems for Transit Bus

     8         12         (33 %) 

North America Off-Highway

     1         12         (92 %) 

Defense

     25         34         (26 %) 

Outside North America On-Highway

     78         67         16

Outside North America Off-Highway

     2         4         (50 %) 

Service Parts, Support Equipment & Other

     96         102         (6 %) 

Total Net Sales

     434         493         (12 %) 

Third Quarter Highlights

North America On-Highway end market net sales were down 15 percent from the same period in 2015 principally driven by lower demand for Rugged Duty Series, Highway Series and Pupil Transport/Shuttle models partially offset by higher demand for Transit/Other Bus models and down 15 percent on a sequential basis principally driven by lower demand for Rugged Duty Series, Pupil Transport/Shuttle Series and Highway Series models partially offset by higher demand for Transit/Other Bus models.

 

1


North America Hybrid-Propulsion Systems for Transit Bus end market net sales were down 33 percent from the same period in 2015 and down 50 percent sequentially principally driven by lower demand due to engine emissions improvements and other alternative technologies.

North America Off-Highway end market net sales were down 92 percent from the same period in 2015 and flat on a sequential basis principally driven by the previously contemplated impact of low energy prices.

Defense end market net sales were down 26 percent from the same period in 2015 principally driven by lower demand for Tracked Defense partially offset by higher demand for Wheeled Defense and down 11 percent sequentially principally driven by lower demand for Tracked Defense.

Outside North America On-Highway end market net sales were up 16 percent from the same period in 2015 principally driven by higher demand in Europe and Japan partially offset by lower demand in China and up 5 percent on a sequential basis principally driven by higher demand in Europe.

Outside North America Off-Highway end market net sales were down 50 percent from the same period in 2015 and down 33 percent sequentially principally driven by lower demand in the mining sector.

Service Parts, Support Equipment & Other end market net sales were down 6 percent from the same period in 2015 principally driven by lower demand for North America service parts and up 8 percent on a sequential basis principally driven by higher demand for global service parts.

Gross profit for the quarter was $205 million, a decrease of 13 percent from $236 million for the same period in 2015. Gross margin for the quarter was 47.1 percent, a decrease of 80 basis points from a gross margin of 47.9 percent for the same period in 2015. The decrease in gross profit from the same period in 2015 was principally driven by decreased net sales partially offset by lower manufacturing expense commensurate with decreased net sales and favorable material costs.

Selling, general and administrative expenses for the quarter were $80 million, a decrease of $7 million from $87 million for the same period in 2015. The decrease was principally driven by unfavorable product warranty adjustments in 2015 partially offset by higher incentive compensation expense.

Engineering – research and development expenses for the quarter were $21 million, a decrease of $3 million from $24 million for the same period in 2015. The decrease was principally driven by the cadence of certain product initiatives.

Net income for the quarter was $45 million compared to $47 million for the same period in 2015. The decrease was principally driven by decreased gross profit, expensing previously recorded deferred financing costs as a result of the long-term debt refinancing in 2016 and higher incentive compensation expense partially offset by the environmental remediation expenses charge in 2015, favorable mark-to-market adjustments for our interest rate derivatives, unfavorable product warranty adjustments in 2015 and decreased engineering – research and development expense.

Third Quarter Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $151 million, or 34.7 percent of net sales, compared to $174 million, or 35.3 percent of net sales, for the same period in 2015. The decrease was principally driven by decreased net sales and higher incentive compensation expense partially offset by unfavorable product warranty adjustments in 2015, lower manufacturing expense commensurate with decreased net sales, decreased engineering – research and development expense and favorable material costs.

Adjusted Free Cash Flow for the quarter was $116 million compared to $148 million for the same period in 2015, a decrease of $32 million. The decrease was principally driven by decreased net sales and increased operating working capital partially offset by increased excess tax benefit from stock-based compensation and decreased capital expenditures.

 

2


Full Year 2016 Guidance Update

Our updated full year 2016 guidance includes a year-over-year net sales decrease in the range of 8.5 to 9.5 percent, an Adjusted EBITDA margin in the range of 34.0 to 35.0 percent, an Adjusted Free Cash Flow in the range of $435 to $455 million and capital expenditures in the range of $70 to $75 million. We are affirming the remaining guidance released to the market on July 27: cash income taxes in the range of $10 to $15 million.

Although we are not providing specific fourth quarter 2016 guidance, Allison does expect fourth quarter net sales to be approximately flat sequentially and down from the same period in 2015.

Conference Call and Webcast

The company will host a conference call at 8:00 a.m. ET on Tuesday, October 25 to discuss its third quarter 2016 results. Dial-in number is 1-201-689-8470 and the U.S. toll-free dial-in number is 1-877-407-9039. A live webcast of the conference call will also be available online at http://ir.allisontransmission.com.

For those unable to participate in the conference call, a replay will be available from 11:00 a.m. ET on October 25 until 11:59 p.m. ET on November 1. The replay dial-in number is 1-844-512-2921 and the international replay dial-in number is 1-412-317-6671. The replay passcode is 13646318.

About Allison Transmission

Allison Transmission (NYSE: ALSN) is the world’s largest manufacturer of fully automatic transmissions for medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicles and is a leader in hybrid-propulsion systems for city buses. Allison transmissions are used in a variety of applications including refuse, construction, fire, distribution, bus, motorhomes, defense and energy. Founded in 1915, the company is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, USA and employs approximately 2,700 people worldwide. With a market presence in more than 80 countries, Allison has regional headquarters in the Netherlands, China and Brazil with manufacturing facilities in the U.S., Hungary and India. Allison also has approximately 1,400 independent distributor and dealer locations worldwide. For more information, visit allisontransmission.com.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical fact contained in this press release are forward-looking statements, including all statements regarding future financial results. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by terminology such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “expect,” “plans,” “project,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “predict,” “intend,” “forecast,” “could,” “potential,” “continue” or the negative of these terms or other similar terms or phrases. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve known and unknown risks. Factors which may cause the actual results to differ materially from those anticipated at the time the forward-looking statements are made include, but are not limited to: risks related to our substantial indebtedness; our participation in markets that are competitive; the highly cyclical industries in which certain of our end users operate; the failure of markets outside North America to increase adoption of fully-automatic transmissions; the concentration of our net sales in our top five customers and the loss of any one of these; future reductions or changes in government subsidies for hybrid vehicles and other external factors impacting demand; U.S. defense spending; general economic and industry conditions; the discovery of defects in our products, resulting in delays in new model launches, recall campaigns and/or increased warranty costs and reduction in future sales or damage to our brand and reputation; our ability to prepare for, respond to and successfully achieve our objectives relating to technological and market developments and changing customer needs; risks associated with our international operations; labor strikes, work stoppages or similar labor disputes, which could significantly disrupt our operations or those of our principal customers; and other risks and uncertainties associated with our business described in our Annual Report on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and Current Reports on Form 8-K. Although we believe the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are based upon reasonable assumptions, we can give no assurance that the expectations will be attained or that any deviation will not be material. All information is as of the date of this press release, and we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to conform the statement to actual results or changes in expectations.

Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

This press release contains information about Allison’s financial results which are not presented in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (“GAAP”). Such non-GAAP financial measures are reconciled to their closest GAAP financial measures at the end of this press release. Non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for our reported results prepared in accordance with GAAP and, as calculated, may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures of other companies.

 

3


This press release also contains forward-looking estimates of non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA Margin and Adjusted Free Cash Flow for fiscal year 2016. We are unable to provide a reconciliation of our forward-looking estimate of non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA Margin to a forward-looking estimate of GAAP Net Income because certain information needed to make a reasonable forward-looking estimate of GAAP Net Income is difficult to predict and estimate and is often dependent on future events which may be uncertain or outside of our control. These may include unanticipated charges related to asset impairments (fixed assets, investments, intangibles or goodwill) and unanticipated non-recurring items not reflective of ongoing operations. We are unable to provide a reconciliation of our forward-looking estimate of non-GAAP Adjusted Free Cash Flow to a forward-looking estimate of GAAP Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities because certain information needed to make a reasonable forward-looking estimate of GAAP Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities is difficult to predict and estimate and is often dependent on future events which may be uncertain or outside of our control. These may include the level of excess income tax benefit from share-based compensation and unanticipated non-recurring items.

Attachment

 

  Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations

 

  Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets

 

  Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

 

  Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Contacts

Investor Relations

ir@allisontransmission.com

(317) 242-3078

Media Relations

media@allisontransmission.com

(317) 242-5000

 

4


Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations

(Unaudited, dollars in millions, except per share data)

 

     Three months ended September 30,     Nine months ended September 30,  
     2016     2015     2016     2015  

Net sales

   $ 434.3     $ 493.0     $ 1,371.3      $ 1,507.6   

Cost of sales

     229.6       256.9       724.8        796.0   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Gross profit

     204.7       236.1       646.5        711.6   

Selling, general and administrative expenses

     80.0       86.6       240.4        235.6   

Engineering - research and development

     20.7        23.6       64.3        69.0   

Environmental remediation

     —          14.0       —          14.0   

Loss associated with impairment of long-lived assets

     —         —         —          1.3   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Operating income

     104.0       111.9       341.8        391.7   

Interest expense, net

     (22.2     (33.7     (84.1     (93.7

Expenses related to long-term debt refinancing

     (11.6     (0.2     (11.6     (25.3

Other income (expense), net

     0.8       (4.2     0.5        (3.6
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Income before income taxes

     71.0       73.8       246.6        269.1   

Income tax expense

     (26.4     (27.3     (92.9     (99.8
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net income

   $ 44.6     $ 46.5     $ 153.7      $ 169.3   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Basic earnings per share attributable to common stockholders

   $ 0.27     $ 0.27     $ 0.91      $ 0.95   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Diluted earnings per share attributable to common stockholders

   $ 0.27     $ 0.27     $ 0.91      $ 0.95   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

5


Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets

(Unaudited, dollars in millions)

 

     September 30,
2016
     December 31,
2015
 

ASSETS

     

Current Assets

     

Cash and cash equivalents

   $ 164.7       $ 251.6   

Accounts receivable - net of allowance for doubtful accounts of $0.5 and $0.4, respectively

     202.8         195.0   

Inventories

     155.8         141.4   

Other current assets

     26.6         28.8   
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Current Assets

     549.9         616.8   

Property, plant and equipment, net

     454.6         479.7   

Intangible assets, net

     3,206.5         3,275.8   

Other non-current assets

     28.3         36.1   
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

TOTAL ASSETS

   $ 4,239.3       $ 4,408.4   
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

LIABILITIES

     

Current Liabilities

     

Accounts payable

   $ 134.6       $ 126.2   

Current portion of long-term debt

     11.9         24.5   

Other current liabilities

     189.2         153.9   
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Current Liabilities

     335.7         304.6   

Long-term debt

     2,148.8         2,352.7   

Other non-current liabilities

     638.1         562.5   
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

TOTAL LIABILITIES

     3,122.6         3,219.8   

TOTAL STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY

     1,116.7         1,188.6   
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

TOTAL LIABILITIES & STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY

   $ 4,239.3       $ 4,408.4   
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

6


Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

(Unaudited, dollars in millions)

 

     Three months ended September 30,     Nine months ended September 30,  
     2016     2015     2016     2015  

Net cash provided by operating activities

   $ 127.7      $ 162.4      $ 415.6      $ 405.1   

Net cash used for investing activities (a)

     (15.0     (17.1     (37.5     (31.8

Net cash used for financing activities

     (312.8     (212.8     (465.8     (485.2

Effect of exchange rate changes in cash

     0.4        (0.9     0.8        (2.7
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents

     (199.7     (68.4     (86.9     (114.6

Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period

     364.4        216.8        251.6        263.0   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Cash and cash equivalents at end of period

   $ 164.7      $ 148.4      $ 164.7      $ 148.4   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Supplemental disclosures:

        

Interest paid

   $ 20.5      $ 21.8      $ 63.6      $ 75.4   

Income taxes paid

   $ 2.4      $ 1.1      $ 10.0      $ 5.0   

(a)    Additions of long-lived assets

   $ (14.1   $ (15.2   $ (36.7   $ (30.1

 

7


Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.

Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures

(Unaudited, dollars in millions)

 

     Three months ended     Nine months ended  
     September 30,     September 30,  
     2016     2015     2016     2015  

Net income (GAAP)

   $ 44.6      $ 46.5      $ 153.7      $ 169.3   

plus:

        

Interest expense, net

     22.2        33.7        84.1        93.7   

Income tax expense

     26.4        27.3        92.9        99.8   

Amortization of intangible assets

     23.0        24.3        69.4        72.9   

Depreciation of property, plant and equipment

     21.1        22.4        62.8        65.8   

Expenses related to long-term debt refinancing (a)

     11.6        0.2        11.6        25.3   

Stock-based compensation expense (b)

     2.1        2.5        6.4        7.2   

Unrealized (gain) loss on foreign exchange (c)

     (1.1     2.8        0.7        1.6   

Technology-related investment expense (d)

     1.0        —          1.0        —     

Unrealized (gain) loss on commodity hedge contracts (e)

     (0.2     0.7        (1.7     0.7   

Dual power inverter module extended coverage (f)

     (0.2     (0.3     1.3        (2.1

Environmental remediation (g)

     —          14.0        —          14.0   

Stockholder activism expenses (h)

     —          —          3.7        —     

Loss associated with impairment of long-lived assets (i)

     —          —          —          1.3   

Loss on repayments of long-term debt (j)

     —          —          —          0.2   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Adjusted EBITDA (Non-GAAP)

   $ 150.5      $ 174.1      $ 485.9      $ 549.7   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net sales (GAAP)

   $ 434.3      $ 493.0      $ 1,371.3      $ 1,507.6   

Adjusted EBITDA margin (Non-GAAP)

     34.7     35.3     35.4     36.5

Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities (GAAP)

   $ 127.7      $ 162.4      $ 415.6      $ 405.1   

(Deductions) or Additions to Reconcile to Adjusted Free Cash Flow:

        

Additions of long-lived assets

     (14.1     (15.2     (36.7     (30.1

Stockholder activism expenses (h)

     0.1        —          3.7        —     

Excess tax benefit from stock-based compensation (k)

     1.8        0.2        2.1        8.2   

Technology-related license expenses (l)

     —          0.2        —          0.2   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Adjusted Free Cash Flow (Non-GAAP)

   $ 115.5      $ 147.6      $ 384.7      $ 383.4   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) Represents expenses related to the refinancing of Allison Transmission, Inc.’s (“ATI”), our wholly owned subsidiary, Senior Secured Credit Facility in the third quarter of 2016 and ATI’s tender offer and redemption of its 7.125% Senior Notes in the second quarter of 2015.
(b) Represents stock-based compensation expense (recorded in Cost of sales, Selling, general and administrative expenses, and Engineering – research and development).
(c) Represents (gains) losses (recorded in Other income (expense), net) on the mark-to-market of our foreign currency hedge contracts and on intercompany financing transactions related to investments in plant assets for our India facility.
(d) Represents a charge (recorded in Other income (expense), net) for investments in co-development agreements to expand our position in transmission technologies.
(e) Represents unrealized (gains) losses (recorded in Other income (expense), net) on the mark-to-market of our commodity hedge contracts.
(f) Represents an adjustment (recorded in Selling, general and administrative expenses) associated with the Dual Power Inverter Module (“DPIM”) extended coverage program liability. The DPIM liability will continue to be reviewed for any changes in estimates as additional claims data and field information become available.
(g) Represents environmental remediation expenses for ongoing operating, monitoring and maintenance activities at our Indianapolis, Indiana manufacturing facilities as a result of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency determining that we are responsible for future operating, monitoring and maintenance activities and that General Motors’ environmental remediation activities, pursuant to the asset purchase agreement, were completed in the third quarter of 2015.
(h) Represents expenses of $3.7 million (recorded in Selling, general and administrative expenses) for the nine months ended September 30, 2016, and payments of $0.1 million and $3.7 million for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2016, respectively, directly associated with stockholder activism activity including the notice, and subsequent withdrawal, of director nomination and governance proposals by Ashe Capital Management, LP.
(i) Represents a charge associated with the impairment of long-lived assets related to the production of the H3000 and H4000 hybrid-propulsion systems.
(j) Represents losses (recorded in Other income (expense), net) realized on the repayments of ATI’s long-term debt.
(k) Represents the amount of tax benefit (recorded in Income tax expense) related to stock-based compensation adjusted from cash flows from operating activities to cash flows from financing activities.
(l) Represents payments (recorded in Engineering - research and development) for licenses to expand our position in transmission technologies.

 

8

EX-99.2
1
Q3 2016 Earnings Release
Published October 24, 2016 (Earnings Conference Call October 25, 2016)
Lawrence Dewey, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
David Graziosi, President & Chief Financial Officer
Exhibit 99.2


2
Safe Harbor Statement
The
following
information
contains,
or
may
be
deemed
to
contain,
“forward-looking
statements”
(as
defined
in
the
U.S.
Private
Securities
Litigation
Reform
Act
of
1995).
The
words
“believe,”
“expect,”
“anticipate,”
“intend,”
“estimate”
and
other
expressions
that
are
predictions
of
or
indicate
future
events
and
trends
and
that
do
not
relate
to
historical
matters
identify
forward-looking
statements.
You
should
not
place
undue
reliance
on
these
forward-looking
statements.
Although
forward-looking
statements
reflect
management’s
good
faith
beliefs,
reliance
should
not
be
placed
on
forward-looking
statements
because
they
involve
known
and
unknown
risks,
uncertainties
and
other
factors,
which
may
cause
the
actual
results,
performance
or
achievements
to
differ
materially
from
anticipated
future
results,
performance
or
achievements
expressed
or
implied
by
such
forward-looking
statements.
Forward-looking
statements
speak
only
as
of
the
date
the
statements
are
made.
We
undertake
no
obligation
to
publicly
update
or
revise
any
forward-looking
statement,
whether
as
a
result
of
new
information,
future
events,
changed
circumstances
or
otherwise.
These
forward-looking
statements
are
subject
to
numerous
risks
and
uncertainties,
including,
but
not
limited
to:
our
participation
in
markets
that
are
competitive;
the
highly
cyclical
industries
in
which
certain
of
our
end
users
operate;
the
failure
of
markets
outside
North
America
to
increase
adoption
of
fully-automatic
transmissions;
risks
related
to
our
substantial
indebtedness;
the
concentration
of
our
net
sales
in
our
top
five
customers
and
the
loss
of
any
one
of
these;
future
reductions
or
changes
in
government
subsidies
and
other
external
factors
impacting
demand
for
hybrid
vehicles;
U.S.
defense
spending;
general
economic
and
industry
conditions;
the
discovery
of
defects
in
our
products,
resulting
in
delays
in
new
model
launches,
recall
campaigns
and/or
increased
warranty
costs
and
reduction
in
future
sales
or
damage
to
our
brand
and
reputation;
our
ability
to
prepare
for,
respond
to
and
successfully
achieve
our
objectives
relating
to
technological
and
market
developments
and
changing
customer
needs;
risks
associated
with
our
international
operations;
and
labor
strikes,
work
stoppages
or
similar
labor
disputes,
which
could
significantly
disrupt
our
operations
or
those
of
our
principal
customers.
Allison
Transmission
cannot
assure
you
that
the
assumptions
made
in
preparing
any
of
the
forward-
looking
statements
will
prove
accurate
or
that
any
long-term
financial
goals
will
be
realized.
All
forward-looking
statements
included
in
this
presentation
speak
only
as
of
the
date
made,
and
Allison
Transmission
undertakes
no
obligation
to
update
or
revise
publicly
any
such
forward-looking
statements,
whether
as
a
result
of
new
information,
future
events,
or
otherwise.
In
particular,
Allison
Transmission
cautions
you
not
to
place
undue
weight
on
certain
forward-looking
statements
pertaining
to
potential
growth
opportunities,
long-term
financial
goals
or
the
value
we
currently
ascribe
to
certain
tax
attributes
set
forth
herein.
Actual
results
may
vary
significantly
from
these
statements.
Allison
Transmission’s
business
is
subject
to
numerous
risks
and
uncertainties,
which
may
cause
future
results
of
operations
to
vary
significantly
from
those
presented
herein.
Important
factors
that
could
cause
actual
results
to
differ
materially
are
discussed
in
Allison
Transmission’s
Annual
Report
on
Form
10-K
for
the
year
ended
December
31,
2015.


3
Non-GAAP Financial Information
We
use
Adjusted
EBITDA
and
Adjusted
EBITDA
margin
to
measure
our
operating
profitability.
We
believe
that
Adjusted
EBITDA
and
Adjusted
EBITDA
margin
provide
management,
investors
and
creditors
with
useful
measures
of
the
operational
results
of
our
business
and
increase
the
period-to-period
comparability
of
our
operating
profitability
and
comparability
with
other
companies.
Adjusted
EBITDA
margin
is
also
used
in
the
calculation
of
management’s
incentive
compensation
program.
The
most
directly
comparable
U.S.
generally
accepted
accounting
principles
(“GAAP”)
measure
to
Adjusted
EBITDA
is
Net
income.
Adjusted
EBITDA
is
calculated
as
the
earnings
before
interest
expense,
income
tax
expense,
amortization
of
intangible
assets,
depreciation
of
property,
plant
and
equipment
and
other
adjustments
as
defined
by
our
debt
agreement.
Adjusted
EBITDA
margin
is
calculated
as
Adjusted
EBITDA
divided
by
net
sales.
We
use
Adjusted
free
cash
flow
to
evaluate
the
amount
of
cash
generated
by
our
business
that,
after
the
capital
investment
needed
to
maintain
and
grow
our
business
and
any
mandatory
debt
service
requirements,
can
be
used
for
repayment
of
debt,
stockholder
distributions
and
strategic
opportunities,
including
investing
in
our
business
and
strengthening
our
balance
sheet.
We
believe
that
Adjusted
free
cash
flow
enhances
the
understanding
of
the
cash
flows
of
our
business
for
management,
investors
and
creditors.
Adjusted
free
cash
flow
is
also
used
in
the
calculation
of
management’s
incentive
compensation
program.
The
most
directly
comparable
GAAP
measure
to
Adjusted
free
cash
flow
is
Net
cash
provided
by
operating
activities.


4
Call Agenda
Q3 2016 Performance
Full Year 2016 Guidance Update


5
Q3 2016 Performance Summary
($ in millions)
Q3 2016
Q3 2015
% Variance
Net Sales
$434
$493
(11.9%)
Gross
Margin %
47.1%
47.9%
(80 bps)
Net Income
$45
$47
(4.1%)
Adjusted EBITDA
(1)
$151
$174
(13.6%)
Adjusted Free
Cash Flow
(1)
$116
$148
(21.7%)
(1)
See Appendix for a reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Free Cash Flow.
(2)
Operating Working Capital = A/R + Inventory –
A/P.
Commentary
Net
Sales:
decrease
was
principally
driven
by
lower
demand
in
the
North
America
On-Highway
and
Off-Highway
end
markets
partially
offset
by
stronger
demand
in
the
Outside
North
America
On-Highway
end
market.
Gross
Margin:
decrease
was
principally
driven
by
decreased
net
sales
partially
offset
by
favorable
material
costs.
Net
Income:
decrease
was
principally
driven
by
decreased
gross
profit,
expensing
previously
recorded
deferred
financing
costs
as
a
result
of
the
long-term
debt
refinancing
in
2016
and
higher
incentive
compensation
expense
partially
offset
by
the
environmental
remediation
expenses
charge
in
2015,
favorable
mark-to-market
adjustments
for
our
interest
rate
derivatives,
unfavorable
product
warranty
adjustments
in
2015
and
decreased
engineering
research
and
development
expenses
driven
by
the
cadence
of
certain
product
initiatives.
Adjusted
EBITDA:
decrease
was
principally
driven
by
decreased
net
sales
and
higher
incentive
compensation
expense
partially
offset
by
unfavorable
product
warranty
adjustments
in
2015,
lower
manufacturing
expense
commensurate
with
decreased
net
sales,
decreased
engineering
research
and
development
expenses
and
favorable
material
costs.
Adjusted
Free
Cash
Flow:
decrease
was
principally
driven
by
decreased
net
sales
and
increased
Operating
Working
Capital
(2)
partially
offset
by
increased
excess
tax
benefit
from
stock-based
compensation
and
decreased
capital
expenditures.


6
Q3 2016 Sales Performance
($ in millions)
End
Markets
Q3 2016
Q3 2015
% Variance
Commentary
North
America
On-Hwy
$224
$262
(15%)
Principally
driven
by
lower
demand
for
Rugged
Duty
Series,
Highway
Series
and
Pupil
Transport/Shuttle
models
partially
offset
by
higher
demand
for
Transit/Other
Bus
models
North America Hybrid-
Propulsion
Systems for
Transit
Bus
$8
$12
(33%)
Principally
driven
by
lower
demand
due
to
engine
emissions
improvements
and
other
alternative
technologies
North
America Off-Hwy
$1
$12
(92%)
Principally
driven
by
the
previously
contemplated
impact
of
low
energy
prices
Defense
$25
$34
(26%)
Principally
driven
by
lower
demand
for
Tracked
Defense
partially
offset
by
higher
demand
for
Wheeled
Defense
Outside North America
On-Hwy
$78
$67
16%
Principally
driven
by
higher
demand
in
Europe
and
Japan
partially
offset
by
lower
demand
in
China
Outside
North America
Off-Hwy
$2
$4
(50%)
Principally
driven
by
lower
demand
in
the
mining
sector
Service
Parts, Support
Equipment & Other
$96
$102
(6%)
Principally
driven
by
lower
demand
for
North
America
service
parts
Total
$434
$493
(12%)


7
Q3 2016 Financial Performance
($ in millions,
except share data)
Q3 2016
Q3
2015
$ Var
% Var
Commentary
Net
Sales
$434.3
$493.0
($58.7)
(11.9%)
Decrease was principally driven by lower demand in the North
America On-Highway and Off-Highway end markets partially
offset by stronger demand in the Outside North America On-
Highway end market
Cost of Sales
$229.6
$256.9
$27.3
10.6%
Gross Profit
$204.7
$236.1
($31.4)
(13.3%)
Decrease was principally driven by decreased net sales partially
offset by lower manufacturing expense commensurate with
decreased net sales and favorable material costs
Operating Expenses
Selling, General and Administrative Expenses
$80.0
$86.6
$6.6
7.6%
Decrease was principally driven by unfavorable product warranty
adjustments in 2015 partially offset by higher incentive
compensation expense
Engineering –
Research and Development
$20.7
$23.6
$2.9
12.3%
Decrease was principally driven by the
cadence of certain
product initiatives
Environmental Remediation
$0.0
$14.0
$14.0
100.0%
Expenses charge in 2015 pursuant to the 2007 asset purchase
agreement with General Motors
Total Operating
Expenses
$100.7
$124.2
$23.5
18.9%
Operating Income
$104.0
$111.9
($7.9)
(7.1%)
Interest Expense, net
($22.2)
($33.7)
$11.5
34.1%
Decrease principally
driven by favorable mark-to-market
adjustments for our interest rate derivatives
Expenses Related to Long-Term Debt Refinaning
($11.6)
($0.2)
($11.4)
(5700.0%)
Increase
driven by expensing previously recorded deferred
financing costs as a result of the long-term debt refinancing
completed in September 2016
Other Income (Expense), net
$0.8
($4.2)
$5.0
119.0%
Change principally driven by foreign exchange
gains on
intercompany financing and gains on derivative contracts
Income Before Income Taxes
$71.0
$73.8
($2.8)
(3.8%)
Income Tax Expense
($26.4)
($27.3)
$0.9
3.3%
Net
Income
$44.6
$46.5
($1.9)
(4.1%)
Diluted Earnings Per Share
$0.27
$0.27
$0.00
0.0%
Q3 2016: 167.9M shares;  Q3 2015: 175.0M shares
Adjusted EBITDA
(1)
$150.5
$174.1
($23.6)
(13.6%)
Adjusted EBITDA
Margin
(1)
34.7%
35.3%
-
(0.6%)
(1)
See Appendix for a reconciliation from Net Income.


8
Q3 2016 Cash Flow Performance
(1)
See Appendix for a reconciliation of Adjusted Free Cash Flow.
(2)
Operating Working Capital = A/R + Inventory –
A/P.
($ in millions)
Q3 2016
Q3 2015
$ Variance
%
Variance
Commentary
Net Cash Provided by
Operating
Activities
$128
$162
($34)
(21.4%)
Principally driven by decreased
net
sales
and increased operating working capital
(2)
CapEx
$14
$15
($1)
(7.2%)
Adjusted Free Cash
Flow
(1) 
$116
$148
($32)
(21.7%)
Principally driven by
decreased net cash
provided by operating activities partially
offset by increased excess tax benefit
from stock-based
compensation and
decreased capital expenditures
($ in millions)
Q3 2016
Q3 2015
$ Variance
%
Variance
Commentary
Operating Working
Capital
(2)
Percentage
of LTM Sales
12.1%
11.6%
N/A
50 bps
Principally
driven by decreased net sales
Cash Paid for Interest
$21
$22
($1)
(6.0%)
Cash Paid for Income
Taxes
$2
$1
$1
118.2%
Principally
driven by increased estimated
taxable income for certain foreign entities


9
2016 Guidance Update -
Summary
Guidance
Commentary
Net Sales Change from 2015
(8.5) to (9.5)
percent
Guidance
reflects
expectations
for
no
meaningful
relief
from
the
global
Off-Highway
end
market
challenges
and
tempering
demand
conditions
in
the
North
America
On-
Highway
end
market
partially
offset
by
increased
demand
in
the
Outside
North
America
On-Highway
end
market.
Guidance
also
assumes
previously
considered
reductions
in
demand
for
North
America
Hybrid-Propulsion
Systems
for
Transit
Bus
due
to
engine
emissions
improvements
and
other
alternative
technologies.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin
34.0 to 35.0
percent
Principally
driven
by
net
sales
and
the
execution
of
several
initiatives
to
align
costs
and
programs
across
our
business
with
challenging
end
markets
demand
conditions
Adjusted Free Cash Flow ($ in millions)
$435 to $455
CapEx
($ in millions)
Maintenance
New Products
$65
$5 to $10
Subject
to
timely
completion
of
development
and
sourcing
milestones
Cash
Income Taxes ($ in millions)
$10 to $15
U.S.
income
tax
shield
and
net
operating
loss
utilization


10
APPENDIX
Non-GAAP Financial Information


11
Non-GAAP Reconciliations
(1 of 2)
(1)
Includes
income
related
to
benefit
plan
adjustments,
employee
stock
compensation
expense,
service
fees
paid
to
Allison’s
Sponsors
Adjusted EBITDA reconciliation
Last twelve
Three months ended
months ended
$ in millions, Unaudited
For the year ended December 31,
September 30,
September 30,
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2015
2016
2016
Net income
$103.0
$514.2
$165.4
$228.6
$182.3
$46.5
$44.6
$166.7
plus:
Interest expense, net                         
217.3
151.2
132.9
138.4
114.5
33.7
22.2
104.9
Income tax expense (benefit)
47.6
(298.0)
100.7
139.5
106.5
27.3
26.4
99.6
Fee to terminate services agreement with Sponsors
16.0
Technology-related investment expenses
14.4
5.0
2.0
1.0
1.0
Public offering expenses
6.1
1.6
1.4
Impairments
15.4
81.3
80.0
Environmental Remediation
14.0
14.0
Amortization of intangible assets               
151.9
150.0
105.3
98.8
97.1
24.3
23.0
93.6
Depreciation of property, plant and equipment    
103.8
102.5
98.7
93.8
88.3
22.4
21.1
85.3
Loss on redemptions and repayments of long-term debt
16.0
22.1
0.8
0.5
0.3
0.1
Stockholder activism expenses
3.7
Dual power inverter module extended coverage
9.4
(2.4)
1.0
(2.1)
(0.3)
(0.2)
1.3
UAW Local 933 signing bonus
8.8
Benefit plan re-measurement
2.3
Unrealized loss (gain) on commodity hedge contracts
6.5
(1.0)
1.5
(1.0)
1.1
0.7
(0.2)
(1.3)
Unrealized loss (gain) on foreign exchange
0.3
0.1
2.3
5.2
1.4
2.8
(1.1)
0.5
Expenses related to long-term debt refinancing
56.9
25.3
0.2
11.6
11.6
Restructuring charges
1.0
0.7
Other, net
(1)
8.6
7.0
13.8
14.7
9.8
2.5
2.1
9.0
Adjusted EBITDA                           
$711.9
$705.1
$626.6
$739.0
$719.8
$174.1
$150.5
$656.0
Net Sales
$2,162.8
$2,141.8
$1,926.8
$2,127.4
$1,985.8
$493.0
$434.3
$1,849.5
Adjusted EBITDA margin               
32.9%
32.9%
32.5%
34.7%
36.2%
35.3%
34.7%
35.5%


12
Non-GAAP Reconciliations
(2 of 2)
Adjusted Free Cash Flow reconciliation
Last twelve
Three months ended
months ended
$ in millions, Unaudited
For the year ended December 31,
September 30,
September 30,
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2015
2016
2016
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities
$469.2
$497.5
$463.5
$573.3
$579.9
$162.4
$127.7
$590.4
(Deductions) or Additions:
Long-lived assets
(96.9)
(123.9)
(74.4)
(64.1)
(58.1)
($15.2)
($14.1)
($64.7)
Fee to terminate services agreement with Sponsors
16.0
Technology-related license expenses
12.0
6.0
6.1
0.2
$0.2
Stockholder activism expenses
$0.1
$3.7
Excess tax benefit from stock-based compensation
5.3
13.7
24.6
8.4
$0.2
$1.8
$2.3
Adjusted Free Cash Flow
$372.3
$406.9
$408.8
$539.9
$530.4
$147.6
$115.5
$531.7
Net Sales                                    
$2,162.8
$2,141.8
$1,926.8
$2,127.4
$1,985.8
$493.0
$434.3
$1,849.5
Adjusted Free Cash Flow (% to Net Sales)
17.2%
19.0%
21.2%
25.4%
26.7%
29.9%
26.6%
28.7%