UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, DC 20549
FORM
CURRENT REPORT
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Item 2.02 | Results of Operations and Financial Condition. |
On October 28 2020, Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (“Allison”) published an earnings release reporting its financial results for the three months ended September 30, 2020. A copy of the earnings release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 hereto. Following the publication of the earnings release, Allison will host an earnings call on October 29, 2020 at 8:00 a.m. ET on which its financial results for the three months ended September 30, 2020 will be discussed. The investor presentation materials that will be used for the call are attached as Exhibit 99.2 hereto.
On October 28, 2020, Allison posted the materials attached as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 on its web site (www.allisontransmission.com).
As discussed on page 2 of Exhibit 99.2, the investor presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. These statements are present expectations, and are subject to the limitations listed therein and in Allison’s other Securities and Exchange Commission filings, including that actual events or results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements.
Item 9.01 | Financial Statements and Exhibits. |
(d) Exhibits.
Exhibit |
Description | |
99.1 | Earnings release dated October 28, 2020. | |
99.2 | Investor presentation materials dated October 28, 2020. | |
104 | Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document). |
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. | ||||||
Date: October 28, 2020 | ||||||
By: | /s/ Eric C. Scroggins | |||||
Name: | Eric C. Scroggins | |||||
Title: | Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary |
Exhibit 99.1
Allison Transmission Announces Third Quarter 2020 Results
* | Net Sales of $532 million, up 41% from the second quarter of 2020 |
* | Net Income of $77 million |
* | Diluted EPS of $0.68 |
* | Adjusted EBITDA of $174 million |
INDIANAPOLIS, October 28, 2020 Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (NYSE: ALSN), the largest global manufacturer of medium- and heavy-duty fully automatic transmissions and a supplier of commercial vehicle propulsion solutions, including electric hybrid and fully electric propulsion systems, today reported net sales for the third quarter of $532 million, a 20 percent decrease from the same period in 2019 and a 41 percent increase from the second quarter of 2020.
Net income for the quarter was $77 million. Adjusted EBITDA, a non-GAAP financial measure, for the quarter was $174 million. Net cash provided by operating activities for the quarter was $158 million. Adjusted free cash flow, a non-GAAP financial measure, for the quarter was $136 million.
David S. Graziosi, President and Chief Executive Officer of Allison Transmission commented, Despite the challenges presented by the pandemic, third quarter results improved significantly, as customer demand and the global economy continued to recover, following the severe disruptions experienced in the second quarter. Furthermore, the commitment, dedication and resilience of Allisons employees, customers and suppliers have enabled the uninterrupted delivery of our products, and the continued generation of earnings and positive cash flow.
Graziosi continued, We will continue to prioritize the health and well-being of Allisons extended family and align our operations, programs and spending with current end market conditions, while mitigating the risks that we anticipate will persist for the foreseeable future and maintaining the flexibility to respond quickly and appropriately. During the third quarter, we settled $16 million in share repurchases and paid a dividend of $0.17 per share. Allison remains well capitalized and positioned to realize future growth opportunities, due to our long-standing commitment to prudent balance sheet management, ample liquidity and profitable operations.
Third Quarter Net Sales by End Market
End Market |
Q3 2020 Net Sales ($M) |
Q3 2019 Net Sales ($M) |
% Variance | |||||||||
North America On-Highway |
$ | 281 | $ | 369 | (24 | %) | ||||||
North America Off-Highway |
$ | 1 | $ | 6 | (83 | %) | ||||||
Defense |
$ | 56 | $ | 40 | 40 | % | ||||||
Outside North America On-Highway |
$ | 71 | $ | 99 | (28 | %) | ||||||
Outside North America Off-Highway |
$ | 4 | $ | 24 | (83 | %) | ||||||
Service Parts, Support Equipment & Other |
$ | 119 | $ | 131 | (9 | %) | ||||||
Total Net Sales |
$ | 532 | $ | 669 | (20 | %) |
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Third Quarter Highlights
North America On-Highway end market net sales were down 24 percent from the same period in 2019 principally driven by lower demand for Rugged Duty Series and Highway Series models as a result of the effects of the pandemic, and up 71 percent on a sequential basis as the severe economic weakness and customer shutdowns experienced during the second quarter abated and a rebound in relevant business activity generated improved demand for both Medium Duty and Class 8 Straight trucks.
North America Off-Highway end market net sales were down $5 million from the same period in 2019 and down $2 million sequentially, in both cases principally driven by lower demand for hydraulic fracturing applications.
Defense end market net sales were up 40 percent from the same period in 2019 and up 33 percent on a sequential basis, in both cases principally driven by tracked vehicle applications, including contracts announced earlier this year for Allisons X1100 and X200 cross-drive transmissions in support of the U.S. Armys long-term sustainment and combat readiness efforts.
Outside North America On-Highway end market net sales were down 28 percent from the same period in 2019 principally driven by lower global demand due to the effects of the pandemic and up 18 percent sequentially as global customers resumed production following shutdowns implemented in the second quarter.
Outside North America Off-Highway end market net sales were down $20 million from the same period in 2019 and down $15 million on a sequential basis, in both cases principally driven by lower demand in the energy, mining and construction sectors.
Service Parts, Support Equipment & Other end market net sales were down 9 percent from the same period in 2019 principally driven by lower demand for North America service parts and support equipment partially offset by aluminum die cast component volume associated with the acquisition of Walker Die Casting in September 2019, and up 34 percent sequentially principally driven by higher demand for aluminum die cast component volume, North America On-Highway service parts and support equipment.
Gross profit for the quarter was $254 million, a decrease of 27 percent from $348 million for the same period in 2019. Gross margin for the quarter was 47.7 percent, a decrease of 430 basis points from a gross margin of 52.0 percent for the same period in 2019. The decrease in gross profit was principally driven by lower net sales partially offset by lower manufacturing expense commensurate with decreased net sales, price increases on certain products and lower incentive compensation expense.
Selling, general and administrative expenses for the quarter were $93 million, an increase of $8 million from $85 million for the same period in 2019. The increase was principally driven by unfavorable product warranty adjustments partially offset by lower intangible amortization expense, lower commercial activities spending and lower incentive compensation expense.
During the third quarter, a $23 million product warranty adjustment was recorded to address a transmission performance issue associated with shift quality in a defined population of products.
Engineering research and development expenses for the quarter were $33 million, a decrease of $6 million from $39 million for the same period in 2019. The decrease was principally driven by the intra-year timing of product initiatives spending.
Net income for the quarter was $77 million, a decrease of $72 million from $149 million for the same period in 2019. The decrease was principally driven by lower net sales and higher selling, general and administrative expenses partially offset by lower manufacturing expense, price increases on certain products and the intra-year timing of product initiatives spending.
Net cash provided by operating activities was $158 million, a decrease of $54 million from $212 million for the same period in 2019. The decrease was principally driven by lower gross profit partially offset by reductions in cash income taxes, operating working capital requirements and commercial activities spending, and the intra-year timing of product initiatives spending.
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Third Quarter Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $174 million, a decrease of $95 million from $269 million for the same period in 2019. The decrease in Adjusted EBITDA was principally driven by lower gross profit and unfavorable product warranty adjustments partially offset by lower commercial activities spending and the intra-year timing of product initiatives spending.
Adjusted free cash flow for the quarter was $136 million, a decrease of $29 million from $165 million for the same period in 2019. The decrease was principally driven by lower net cash provided by operating activities partially offset by lower capital expenditures and the exclusion of cash restructuring charges.
Full Year 2020 Guidance
Allison expects 2020 Net Sales in the range of $2,025 to $2,075 million, Net Income in the range of $285 to $315 million, Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $690 to $730 million, Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities in the range of $490 to $520 million, Adjusted Free Cash Flow in the range of $385 to $425 million and Capital Expenditures in the range of $107 to $117 million.
Our full year 2020 Net Sales guidance reflects lower demand across all end markets except for the Defense end market as a result of the pandemic, partially offset by price increases on certain products.
Conference Call and Webcast
The company will host a conference call at 8:00 a.m. ET on Thursday, October 29 to discuss its third quarter 2020 results. The dial-in phone number for the conference call is 1-877-425-9470 and the international dial-in number is 1-201-389-0878. A live webcast of the conference call will also be available online at http://ir.allisontransmission.com.
For those unable to participate in the conference call, a replay will be available from 11:00 a.m. ET on October 29 until 11:59 p.m. ET on November 5. The replay dial-in phone number is 1-844-512-2921 and the international replay dial-in number is 1-412-317-6671. The replay passcode is 13710663.
About Allison Transmission
Allison Transmission (NYSE: ALSN) is the worlds largest manufacturer of fully automatic transmissions for medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicles and medium- and heavy-tactical U.S. defense vehicles, as well as a supplier of commercial vehicle propulsion solutions, including electric hybrid and fully electric propulsion systems. Allison products are used in a wide variety of applications, including on-highway trucks (distribution, refuse, construction, fire and emergency), buses (school, transit and coach), motorhomes, off-highway vehicles and equipment (energy, mining and construction applications) and defense vehicles (wheeled and tracked). Founded in 1915, the company is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, USA. With a market presence in more than 80 countries, Allison has regional headquarters in the Netherlands, China and Brazil with manufacturing facilities in the U.S., Hungary and India. Allison also has approximately 1,500 independent distributor and dealer locations worldwide. For more information, visit allisontransmission.com.
Forward-Looking Statements
This press release contains forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical fact contained in this press release are forward-looking statements, including all statements regarding future financial results or expected ability to re-open our facilities promptly. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by terminology such as may, will, should, expect, plans, project, anticipate, believe, estimate, predict, intend, forecast, could, potential, continue or the negative of these terms or other similar terms or phrases. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve known and unknown risks. Factors which may cause the actual results to differ materially from those anticipated at the time the forward-looking statements are made include, but are not limited to: the duration and spread of the COVID-19 outbreak, mitigating efforts deployed by government agencies and the public at large, and the overall impact from such outbreak on economic conditions, financial market volatility and our business, including but not limited to the operations of our manufacturing and other facilities, our supply chain, our distribution processes and demand for our products and the corresponding impacts to our net sales and cash flow; risks related to our substantial indebtedness; our participation in markets that are competitive; the highly cyclical industries in which certain of our end users operate; uncertainty in the global regulatory and business environments in which we operate; our ability to prepare for, respond to and successfully achieve our objectives relating to technological and market developments, competitive threats and changing customer needs; the concentration of our net sales in our top five customers and the loss of any one of these; the failure of markets outside North America to increase adoption of fully-automatic
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transmissions; U.S. and foreign defense spending; general economic and industry conditions; increases in cost, disruption of supply or shortage of raw materials or components used in our products; the discovery of defects in our products, resulting in delays in new model launches, recall campaigns and/or increased warranty costs and reduction in future sales or damage to our brand and reputation; risks associated with our international operations, including increased trade protectionism; labor strikes, work stoppages or similar labor disputes, which could significantly disrupt our operations or those of our principal customers; our intention to pay dividends and repurchase shares of our common stock and other risks and uncertainties associated with our business described in our Annual Report on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and Current Reports on Form 8-K. Although we believe the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are based upon reasonable assumptions, we can give no assurance that the expectations will be attained or that any deviation will not be material. All information is as of the date of this press release, and we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to conform the statement to actual results or changes in expectations.
Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
This press release contains information about Allisons financial results and forward-looking estimates of financial results which are not presented in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (GAAP). Such non-GAAP financial measures are reconciled to their closest GAAP financial measures at the end of this press release. Non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for our reported results prepared in accordance with GAAP and, as calculated, may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures of other companies.
We use Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA as a percent of net sales to measure our operating profitability. We believe that Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA as a percent of net sales provide management, investors and creditors with useful measures of the operational results of our business and increase the period-to-period comparability of our operating profitability and comparability with other companies. Adjusted EBITDA as a percent of net sales is also used in the calculation of managements incentive compensation program. The most directly comparable GAAP measure to Adjusted EBITDA is Net income. The most directly comparable GAAP measure to Adjusted EBITDA as a percent of net sales is Net Income as a percent of net sales. Adjusted EBITDA is calculated as the earnings before interest expense, income tax expense, amortization of intangible assets, depreciation of property, plant and equipment and other adjustments as defined by Allison Transmission, Inc.s, the Companys wholly-owned subsidiary, Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement. Adjusted EBITDA as a percent of net sales is calculated as Adjusted EBITDA divided by net sales.
We use Adjusted Free Cash Flow to evaluate the amount of cash generated by our business that, after the capital investment needed to maintain and grow our business and certain mandatory debt service requirements, can be used for the repayment of debt, stockholder distributions and strategic opportunities, including investing in our business. We believe that Adjusted Free Cash Flow enhances the understanding of the cash flows of our business for management, investors and creditors. Adjusted Free Cash Flow is also used in the calculation of managements incentive compensation program. The most directly comparable GAAP measure to Adjusted Free Cash Flow is Net cash provided by operating activities. Adjusted Free Cash Flow is calculated as Net cash provided by operating activities, excluding non-recurring restructuring charges, after additions of long-lived assets.
Attachments
| Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations |
| Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets |
| Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows |
| Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures |
| Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for Full Year Guidance |
Contacts
Raymond Posadas
Managing Director, Investor Relations
ir@allisontransmission.com
(317) 242-3078
Media Relations
media@allisontransmission.com
(317) 242-5000
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Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations
(Unaudited, dollars in millions, except per share data)
Three months ended September 30, | Nine months ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||
2020 | 2019 | 2020 | 2019 | |||||||||||||
Net sales |
$ | 532 | $ | 669 | $ | 1,546 | $ | 2,081 | ||||||||
Cost of sales |
278 | 321 | 801 | 985 | ||||||||||||
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Gross profit |
254 | 348 | 745 | 1,096 | ||||||||||||
Selling, general and administrative |
93 | 85 | 237 | 262 | ||||||||||||
Engineering - research and development |
33 | 39 | 107 | 107 | ||||||||||||
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Operating income |
128 | 224 | 401 | 727 | ||||||||||||
Interest expense, net |
(34 | ) | (32 | ) | (100 | ) | (101 | ) | ||||||||
Other income, net |
4 | 2 | 8 | 8 | ||||||||||||
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Income before income taxes |
98 | 194 | 309 | 634 | ||||||||||||
Income tax expense |
(21 | ) | (45 | ) | (70 | ) | (137 | ) | ||||||||
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Net income |
$ | 77 | $ | 149 | $ | 239 | $ | 497 | ||||||||
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Basic earnings per share attributable to common stockholders |
$ | 0.68 | $ | 1.24 | $ | 2.10 | $ | 4.04 | ||||||||
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Diluted earnings per share attributable to common stockholders |
$ | 0.68 | $ | 1.23 | $ | 2.10 | $ | 4.01 | ||||||||
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Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
(Unaudited, dollars in millions)
September 30, | December 31, | |||||||
2020 | 2019 | |||||||
ASSETS |
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Current Assets |
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Cash and cash equivalents |
$ | 251 | $ | 192 | ||||
Accounts receivable, net |
245 | 253 | ||||||
Inventories |
177 | 199 | ||||||
Other current assets |
37 | 42 | ||||||
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Total Current Assets |
710 | 686 | ||||||
Property, plant and equipment, net |
636 | 616 | ||||||
Intangible assets, net |
975 | 1,042 | ||||||
Goodwill |
2,063 | 2,041 | ||||||
Other non-current assets |
62 | 65 | ||||||
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TOTAL ASSETS |
$ | 4,446 | $ | 4,450 | ||||
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LIABILITIES |
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Current Liabilities |
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Accounts payable |
$ | 133 | $ | 150 | ||||
Product warranty liability |
34 | 24 | ||||||
Current portion of long-term debt |
6 | 6 | ||||||
Deferred revenue |
33 | 35 | ||||||
Other current liabilities |
176 | 202 | ||||||
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Total Current Liabilities |
382 | 417 | ||||||
Product warranty liability |
31 | 28 | ||||||
Deferred revenue |
107 | 104 | ||||||
Long-term debt |
2,510 | 2,512 | ||||||
Deferred income taxes |
424 | 387 | ||||||
Other non-current liabilities |
246 | 221 | ||||||
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TOTAL LIABILITIES |
3,700 | 3,669 | ||||||
TOTAL STOCKHOLDERS EQUITY |
746 | 781 | ||||||
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TOTAL LIABILITIES & STOCKHOLDERS EQUITY |
$ | 4,446 | $ | 4,450 | ||||
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Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
(Unaudited, dollars in millions)
Three months ended September 30, | Nine months ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||
2020 | 2019 | 2020 | 2019 | |||||||||||||
Net cash provided by operating activities (a) |
$ | 158 | $ | 212 | $ | 398 | $ | 645 | ||||||||
Net cash used for investing activities (b) (c) |
(31 | ) | (146 | ) | (76 | ) | (323 | ) | ||||||||
Net cash used for financing activities |
(312 | ) | (65 | ) | (263 | ) | (399 | ) | ||||||||
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash |
2 | (2 | ) | | (2 | ) | ||||||||||
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Net (decrease) increase in cash and cash equivalents |
(183 | ) | (1 | ) | 59 | (79 | ) | |||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period |
434 | 153 | 192 | 231 | ||||||||||||
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Cash and cash equivalents at end of period |
$ | 251 | $ | 152 | $ | 251 | $ | 152 | ||||||||
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Supplemental disclosures: |
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Interest paid |
$ | 8 | $ | 10 | $ | 73 | $ | 63 | ||||||||
Income taxes paid |
$ | 5 | $ | 29 | $ | 13 | $ | 84 | ||||||||
(a) Restructuring charges |
$ | (9 | ) | $ | | $ | (12 | ) | $ | | ||||||
(b) Business acquisitions |
$ | | $ | (99 | ) | $ | 4 | $ | (232 | ) | ||||||
(c) Additions of long-lived assets |
$ | (31 | ) | $ | (47 | ) | $ | (80 | ) | $ | (91 | ) |
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Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.
Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures
(Unaudited, dollars in millions)
Three months ended September 30, |
Nine months ended September 30, |
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2020 | 2019 | 2020 | 2019 | |||||||||||||
Net income (GAAP) |
$ | 77 | $ | 149 | $ | 239 | $ | 497 | ||||||||
plus: |
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Interest expense, net |
34 | 32 | 100 | 101 | ||||||||||||
Depreciation of property, plant and equipment |
25 | 20 | 71 | 57 | ||||||||||||
Income tax expense |
21 | 45 | 70 | 137 | ||||||||||||
Amortization of intangible assets |
11 | 22 | 40 | 65 | ||||||||||||
Restructuring charges (a) |
| | 12 | | ||||||||||||
Stock-based compensation expense (b) |
6 | 2 | 11 | 10 | ||||||||||||
Unrealized loss on foreign exchange (c) |
| | 2 | | ||||||||||||
Acquisition-related earnouts (d) |
| | 1 | | ||||||||||||
Expenses related to long-term debt refinancing (e) |
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UAW Local 933 retirement incentive (f) |
| (1 | ) | | (1 | ) | ||||||||||
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Adjusted EBITDA (Non-GAAP) |
$ | 174 | $ | 269 | $ | 546 | $ | 867 | ||||||||
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Net sales (GAAP) |
$ | 532 | $ | 669 | $ | 1,546 | $ | 2,081 | ||||||||
Net income as a percent of net sales (GAAP) |
14.5 | % | 22.3 | % | 15.5 | % | 23.9 | % | ||||||||
Adjusted EBITDA as a percent of net sales (Non-GAAP) |
32.7 | % | 40.2 | % | 35.3 | % | 41.7 | % | ||||||||
Net cash provided by operating activities (GAAP) |
$ | 158 | $ | 212 | $ | 398 | $ | 645 | ||||||||
Deductions to Reconcile to Adjusted Free Cash Flow: |
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Additions of long-lived assets |
(31 | ) | (47 | ) | (80 | ) | (91 | ) | ||||||||
Restructuring charges (a) |
9 | | 12 | | ||||||||||||
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Adjusted free cash flow (Non-GAAP) |
$ | 136 | $ | 165 | $ | 330 | $ | 554 | ||||||||
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(a) | Represents restructuring charges (recorded in Cost of sales, Selling, general and administrative, and Engineering research and development) related to voluntary and involuntary separation programs for hourly and salaried employees in the second quarter of 2020. |
(b) | Represents stock-based compensation expense (recorded in Cost of sales, Selling, general and administrative, and Engineering research and development). |
(c) | Represents losses (recorded in Other income, net) on intercompany financing transactions related to investments in plant assets for our India facility. |
(d) | Represents expense (recorded in Selling, general and administrative and Engineering - research and development) for earnouts related to our acquisition of Vantage Power Limited. |
(e) | Represents expenses (recorded in Other income, net) related to the refinancing of the prior term loan due 2022 and prior revolving credit facility due 2021 in the first quarter of 2019. |
(f) | Represents a charge (recorded in Cost of sales) related to a retirement incentive program for certain employees represented by the International Union, United Automobile, Aerospace and Agricultural Implement Workers of America (UAW) pursuant to the UAW Local 933 collective bargaining agreement effective through November 2023. |
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Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.
Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for Full Year Guidance
(Unaudited, dollars in millions)
Guidance | ||||||||
Year Ending December 31, 2020 | ||||||||
Low | High | |||||||
Net Income (GAAP) |
$ | 285 | $ | 315 | ||||
plus: |
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Depreciation and amortization |
150 | 150 | ||||||
Interest expense, net |
133 | 133 | ||||||
Income tax expense |
83 | 93 | ||||||
Stock-based compensation expense (a) |
15 | 15 | ||||||
Restructuring charges (b) |
12 | 12 | ||||||
UAW Local 933 retirement incentive (c) |
9 | 9 | ||||||
Unrealized loss on foreign exchange (d) |
2 | 2 | ||||||
Acquisition-related earnouts (e) |
1 | 1 | ||||||
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Adjusted EBITDA (Non-GAAP) |
$ | 690 | $ | 730 | ||||
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Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities (GAAP) |
$ | 490 | $ | 520 | ||||
(Deductions) or Additions to Reconcile to Adjusted Free Cash Flow: |
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Additions of long-live assets |
$ | (117 | ) | $ | (107 | ) | ||
Restructuring charges (b) |
12 | 12 | ||||||
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Adjusted Free Cash Flow (Non-GAAP) |
$ | 385 | $ | 425 | ||||
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(a) | Represents stock-based compensation expense (recorded in Cost of sales, Selling, general and administrative, and Engineering research and development). |
(b) | Represents restructuring charges (recorded in Cost of sales, Selling, general and administrative, and Engineering research and development) related to voluntary and involuntary separation programs for hourly and salaried employees in the second quarter of 2020. |
(c) | Represents a charge (recorded in Cost of sales) related to a retirement incentive program for certain employees represented by the UAW pursuant to the UAW Local 933 collective bargaining agreement effective through November 2023. |
(d) | Represents losses (recorded in Other income, net) on intercompany financing transactions related to investments in plant assets for our India facility. |
(e) | Represents expense (recorded in Selling, general and administrative and Engineering - research and development) for earnouts related to our acquisition of Vantage Power Limited. |
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Q3 2020 Earnings Release Published October 28, 2020 (Earnings Conference Call October 29, 2020) Dave Graziosi, President & Chief Executive Officer Fred Bohley, Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer Exhibit 99.2
Safe Harbor Statement The following information contains, or may be deemed to contain, “forward-looking statements” (as defined in the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995). The words “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “estimate” and other expressions that are predictions of or indicate future events and trends and that do not relate to historical matters identify forward-looking statements. You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. Although forward-looking statements reflect management’s good faith beliefs, reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements because they involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from anticipated future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date the statements are made. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events, changed circumstances or otherwise. These forward-looking statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, including, but not limited to: the duration and spread of the COVID-19 outbreak, mitigating efforts deployed by government agencies and the public at large, and the overall impact from such outbreak on economic conditions, financial market volatility and our business, including but not limited to the operations of our manufacturing and other facilities, our supply chain, our distribution processes and demand for our products and the corresponding impacts to our net sales and cash flows; risks related to our substantial indebtedness; our participation in markets that are competitive; the highly cyclical industries in which certain of our end users operate; uncertainty in the global regulatory and business environments in which we operate; our ability to prepare for, respond to and successfully achieve our objectives relating to technological and market developments, competitive threats and changing customer needs; the concentration of our net sales in our top five customers and the loss of any one of these; the failure of markets outside North America to increase adoption of fully automatic transmissions; the success of our research and development efforts, the outcome of which is uncertain; our failure to identify, consummate or effectively integrate acquisitions; U.S. and foreign defense spending; general economic and industry conditions; increases in cost, disruption of supply or shortage of raw materials or components used in our products; the discovery of defects in our products, resulting in delays in new model launches, recall campaigns and/or increased warranty costs and reduction in future sales or damage to our brand and reputation; risks associated with our international operations, including increased trade protectionism; labor strikes, work stoppages or similar labor disputes, which could significantly disrupt our operations or those of our principal customers; and our intention to pay dividends and repurchase shares of our common stock. Allison Transmission cannot assure you that the assumptions made in preparing any of the forward- looking statements will prove accurate or that any long-term financial goals will be realized. All forward-looking statements included in this presentation speak only as of the date made, and Allison Transmission undertakes no obligation to update or revise publicly any such forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. In particular, Allison Transmission cautions you not to place undue weight on certain forward-looking statements pertaining to potential growth opportunities, long-term financial goals or the value we currently ascribe to certain tax attributes set forth herein. Actual results may vary significantly from these statements. Allison Transmission’s business is subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, which may cause future results of operations to vary significantly from those presented herein. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially are discussed in Allison Transmission’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2019 and Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2020 and June 30, 2020.
Non-GAAP Financial Information We use Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA as a percent of net sales to measure our operating profitability. We believe that Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA as a percent of net sales provide management, investors and creditors with useful measures of the operational results of our business and increase the period-to-period comparability of our operating profitability and comparability with other companies. Adjusted EBITDA as a percent of net sales is also used in the calculation of management’s incentive compensation program. The most directly comparable U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) measure to Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA as a percent of net sales is Net income and Net income as a percent of net sales, respectively. Adjusted EBITDA is calculated as the earnings before interest expense, income tax expense, amortization of intangible assets, depreciation of property, plant and equipment and other adjustments as defined by Allison Transmission, Inc.’s, the Company’s wholly-owned subsidiary, Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement. Adjusted EBITDA as a percent of net sales is calculated as Adjusted EBITDA divided by net sales. We use Adjusted Free Cash Flow to evaluate the amount of cash generated by our business that, after the capital investment needed to maintain and grow our business and certain mandatory debt service requirements, can be used for repayment of debt, stockholder distributions and strategic opportunities, including investing in our business. We believe that Adjusted Free Cash Flow enhances the understanding of the cash flows of our business for management, investors and creditors. Adjusted Free Cash Flow is also used in the calculation of management’s incentive compensation program. The most directly comparable GAAP measure to Adjusted Free Cash Flow is Net cash provided by operating activities. Adjusted Free Cash Flow is calculated as Net cash provided by operating activities, excluding non-recurring restructuring charges, after additions of long-lived assets.
Call Agenda Q3 2020 Performance Q3 2020 Liquidity Update 2020 Guidance Update
Q3 2020 Performance Summary ($ in millions) Q3 2020 Q3 2019 % Variance Net Sales $532 $669 (20.4%) Gross Margin 47.7% 52.0% (430) bps Net Income $77 $149 (48.3%) Adjusted EBITDA(1) $174 $269 (35.3%) See Appendix for the reconciliation from Net Income. Commentary Net Sales: decrease was principally driven by the ongoing effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the global economy, resulting in lower demand in all end markets except for the Defense end market. Gross Margin: decrease was principally driven by lower net sales partially offset by price increases on certain products and lower incentive compensation expense. Net Income: decrease was principally driven by lower net sales and higher selling, general and administrative expenses partially offset by lower manufacturing expense, price increases on certain products and the intra-year timing of product initiatives spending. Adjusted EBITDA: decrease was principally driven by lower gross profit and unfavorable product warranty adjustments partially offset by lower commercial activities spending and the intra-year timing of product initiatives spending.
Q3 2020 Sales Performance ($ in millions) End Markets Q3 2020 Q3 2019 % Variance Commentary North America On-Hwy $281 $369 (24%) Principally driven by lower demand for Rugged Duty Series and Highway Series models due to the effects of the pandemic North America Off-Hwy $1 $6 (83%) Principally driven by lower demand for hydraulic fracturing applications Defense $56 $40 40% Principally driven by tracked vehicle applications, including contracts announced earlier this year for Allison’s X1100 and X200 cross-drive transmissions in support of the U.S. Army’s long-term sustainment and combat readiness efforts Outside North America On-Hwy $71 $99 (28%) Principally driven by lower demand due to the effects of the pandemic Outside North America Off-Hwy $4 $24 (83%) Principally driven by lower demand in the energy, mining and construction sectors Service Parts, Support Equipment & Other $119 $131 (9%) Principally driven by lower demand for North America service parts and support equipment partially offset by aluminum die cast component volume associated with the acquisition of Walker Die Casting in September 2019 Total $532 $669 (20%)
Q3 2020 Financial Performance ($ in millions, except per share data) Q3 2020 Q3 2019 $ Var % Var Commentary Net Sales $532 $669 ($137) (20.4%) Decrease was principally driven by the ongoing effects of the pandemic on the global economy, resulting in lower demand in all end markets except for the Defense end market Cost of Sales $278 $321 ($43) (13.4%) Gross Profit $254 $348 ($94) (27.0%) Decrease was principally driven by lower net sales partially offset by lower manufacturing expense commensurate with decreased net sales, price increases on certain products and lower incentive compensation expense Operating Expenses Selling, General and Administrative $93 $85 ($8) (9.4%) Increase was principally driven by unfavorable product warranty adjustments partially offset by lower intangible amortization expense, commercial activities spending and incentive compensation expense Engineering – Research and Development $33 $39 $6 15.4% Decrease was principally driven by the intra-year timing of product initiatives spending Total Operating Expenses $126 $124 ($2) (1.6%) Operating Income $128 $224 ($96) (42.9%) Interest Expense, net ($34) ($32) ($2) (6.3%) Increase was principally driven by increased interest expense for interest rate hedges that became effective in the third quarter of 2019 and interest expense on ATI’s Revolving Credit Facility, partially offset by lower interest expense on ATI’s Term Loan due to lower variable interest rates Other Income, net $4 $2 $2 100% Income Before Income Taxes $98 $194 ($96) (49.5%) Income Tax Expense ($21) ($45) $24 (53.3%) Decrease was principally driven by lower income before income taxes Net Income $77 $149 ($72) (48.3%) Diluted Earnings Per Share $0.68 $1.23 ($0.55) (44.7%) Q3 2020: 114M shares; Q3 2019: 121M shares Adjusted EBITDA(1) $174 $269 ($95) (35.3%) See appendix for the reconciliation from Net Income.
Q3 2020 Cash Flow Performance See Appendix for the reconciliation from Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities. Operating Working Capital = A/R + Inventory – A/P. ($ in millions) Q3 2020 Q3 2019 $ Variance % Variance Commentary Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities $158 $212 ($54) (25.5%) Principally driven by lower gross profit partially offset by reductions in cash income taxes, operating working capital requirements, and commercial activities spending, and the intra-year timing of product initiatives spending CapEx $31 $47 ($16) (34.0%) Principally due to reductions and deferrals of spending in response to the pandemic Adjusted Free Cash Flow (1) $136 $165 ($29) (17.6%) Principally driven by lower net cash provided by operating activities partially offset by decreased capital expenditures and the exclusion of cash restructuring charges ($ in millions) Q3 2020 Q3 2019 $ Variance % Variance Commentary Operating Working Capital(2) Percentage of LTM Sales 14.2% 13.0% N/A 120 Bps Principally due to the addition of Walker Die Casting and lower LTM Net Sales Cash Paid for Interest $8 $10 ($2) (20.0%) Principally driven by intra-year timing of payments Cash Paid for Income Taxes $5 $29 ($24) (82.8%) Principally driven by decreased taxable income
Strong Liquidity Profile Long-term Debt Profile & Credit Statistics Current Debt Maturity Profile Cash and Available Borrowing Capacity of $846 million as of September 30, 2020 $251 million of cash and cash equivalents $595 million of available revolving credit facility commitments, expiring in September 2024 History of robust free cash flow generation Staggered, flexible, long-dated and covenant light debt structure with the earliest maturity due in Sep 2024 Financial Covenants point to First Lien Net Leverage Ratio Maximum threshold of 5.5x First Lien Net Leverage ratio (Net First Lien Debt to LTM Adj. EBITDA) First Lien Net Leverage ratio of 0.51x as of September 30, 2020 Net Leverage of 3.0x (Net Debt to LTM Adj. EBITDA) as of September 30, 2020 Q3 2020 Capital Allocation Paid a dividend of $0.17 per share Settled $16M of share repurchases at an average price of $35.24
2020 Guidance Update Full year 2020 Net Sales guidance reflects lower demand across all end markets except for the Defense end market as a result of the pandemic, partially offset by price increases on certain products. ($ in millions) Guidance Net Sales $2,025 to $2,075 Net Income $285 to $315 Adjusted EBITDA $690 to $730 Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities $490 to $520 Adjusted Free Cash Flow $385 to $425 Capital Expenditures $107 to $117
APPENDIX Non-GAAP Financial Information
Non-GAAP Reconciliations (1 of 3) Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation
Non-GAAP Reconciliations (2 of 3) Adjusted Free Cash Flow Reconciliation
Non-GAAP Reconciliations (3 of 3) Guidance Reconciliation $ in millions Low High Net Income (GAAP) 285 $ 315 $ plus: Depreciation and amortization 150 150 Interest expense, net 133 133 Income tax expense 83 93 Stock-based compensation expense 15 15 Restructuring charges 12 12 UAW Local 933 retirement incentive 9 9 Unrealized loss on foreign exchange 2 2 Acquisition-related earnouts 1 1 Adjusted EBITDA (Non-GAAP) 690 $ 730 $ Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities (GAAP) 490 $ 520 $ (Deductions) or Additions to Reconcile to Adjusted Free Cash Flow: Additions of long-lived assets (117) $ (107) $ Restructuring charges 12 12 Adjusted Free Cash Flow (Non-GAAP) 385 $ 425 $ Guidance Year Ending December 31, 2020